Retail Tissue and Hygiene: Half-Year Update H1 2023

September 2023

Euromonitor International updated the Tissue and Hygiene Forecast Model in July 2023, applying the latest macroeconomic consensus to review 2023-2027 category projections. This report reviews top line changes to this outlook, indicating the main challenges faced by the Retail Tissue and Hygiene industry, examining the impact of price inflation on category performance, and reviewing the recent reporting on industry leaders from public trading updates.

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Key Findings

Volume setbacks

Volumes are expected to see either downgrades or limited growth across markets in retail tissue and hygiene. The higher prices of tissue and hygiene goods are leading to consumers rationalising spending, down trading (where possible), out trading and seeking alternatives. Meanwhile, structure shift such as birth rate decline, which has partially been exacerbated by cost-of-living crises, adds stress to volume growth of baby nappies/diapers, particularly in China, a top tissue and hygiene market.

Supply chain optimisation

With moderating input costs still above historical levels, tissue and hygiene manufacturers must strengthen their brands’ supply chain efficiency through, for example, capacity expansion, manufacturing technology upgrades and vertically integrated acquisitions, to ensure they are bracing themselves for potential future uncertainties and adapting to the relevant consumer needs more efficiently.

Value creation reinforced

With price sensitivity stretching into the second half of 2023, sustained long-term growth in market share will continue to be underpinned by tangible value creation centred on quality, performance, health benefits, usage occasions, as well as marketing reiterating cost-benefit advantages. Sustainability remains a key pillar, given cost pressure on supply networks and observable growing consumer interest in new materials and alternative solutions.

Heightened social aspect

With hygiene products such as menstrual care goods now more closely associated with social equality, culturally and legally, businesses need to pursue social endeavours and seek new go-to-market channels to enhance product accessibility and brand awareness, as a part of their value- building strategy. Such moves may further prevail within the hygiene sector, meaning that many categories will transcend FMCG status with implications for business models and social contract.

 

Scope
About this briefing
Key findings
Pricing actions amidst high inflation are driving nominal value growth
Largest nominal value upgrades seen in Latin America and Western Europe
While input costs are moderating, their elevated level keeps tissue and hygiene prices up
Energy prices stabilise but supply risks may extend inflation in especially Europe and Asia
Prices continue to grow in early 2023 for retail tissue and hygiene across most markets
The many drivers of inflation within retail tissue and hygiene
Elevated pricing pressure causes slight downgrade to real value and volume momentum
Volume downgrades most notable in Chinese nappies/diapers due largely to structural shift
China’s slowdown and deflation risk challenge near-term consumer demand
Retail tissue strategies: Major tissue companies are upholding margin priority over volume
Paper towels’ pricing dynamics by top players
A renewed focus on “value” is needed to address concerns regarding rising costs
Value and simplicity lead strategic thinking in retail tissue
Retail hygiene strategies: Corporate sentiments reflect focus on value creation
Baby nappies/diapers’ pricing dynamics by top players
A renewed focus on “value” is needed to address concerns regarding rising costs
Endeavours to tackle period poverty and stigma form another pillar of value building
Clean ingredients, sustainability and digital transformation will highly impact hygiene future
Sustainability emerges as a cost-cutting strategy amid inflationary pressures
Surging investment in overlooked areas amid product development decline
Product development hit by reluctance to pay premium for sustainability
Simple actions to unlock accessible sustainability now
EcoSoul: Making household essentials affordable to all
Growth decomposition: Fundamentals and habit stickiness underpin tissue and hygiene resilience
Updated H1 forecast for retail tissue and hygiene: H1 2023 update vs scenarios
Global baseline outlook: Optimism increases amidst weak and fragile growth environment
Global inflation slowdown comes with increasingly diverging trends between key economies
Real GDP annual growth forecasts and revisions from last quarter (1/2)
Real GDP annual growth forecasts and revisions from last quarter (2/2)
Tissue and Hygiene system update schedule

Tissue and Hygiene

This is the aggregation of retail and away-from home tissue and disposable hygiene products as well as Rx/reimbursement adult incontinence.

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