The Impact of Coronavirus on Consumer Appliances

June 2020

As the consumer appliances industry struggles with supply chain disruption and lower consumer demand due to the economic impact of COVID-19, opportunities exist in 2020 and beyond in products that speak to heightened hygiene concerns and at-home activities like cooking. Longer term, the scale of the coming economic disruption and how much consumer appliance demand lost during lockdown can be recovered are the two critical ‘known unknowns’ that will frame future market performance.

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Key Findings

Economic outlook

All indicators are pointing to severe economic turbulence ahead; the only real debate is about how severe this will be in 2020/2021, and how long physical disruption of economic activity will need to last (ie only one lockdown, or multiple). Fear of the future is already delaying large-ticket sales and with paralysed housing markets, consumer appliances is directly impacted. Early indicators are that heavy discounting is not stimulating sales.

Industry impact

Supply chains are fractured both at source and at each stage through to interaction points with consumers; this is geographically shifting in line with lockdown implementation and relaxation. Consumer demand is fluctuating from lockdowns and looming economic trauma, but two elements are positive. Some categories such as freezers, air treatment and tumble dryers spiked due to stockpiling and perceived hygiene benefits, while long-term consumer appliance demand increases in a world that embraces working from home.

Geographic impact

Local culture interacts with this crisis - for example, lockdown and Ramadan combine and create an even greater move towards home cooking. Also, brands are radically changing how and where they are spending money. Part of this is a major shift to “online only”, but it has larger implications for event sponsorship, especially if planned and paid for in advance. A good example is Panasonic with the Tokyo Olympics 2020, but also Europe’s largest trade fair IFA (Berlin, September) will be a shadow of 2019.

Corporate action

Most actions so far relate to operations and protecting staff, producing protective equipment, and encouraging stay-at-home messages. “Protection” appliance messaging is there… but very little emotionally intelligent effort is evident so far on the soft side with guidance on how to stay safe at home. There is a balance to be had here, between being seen to help consumers while at the same time not appearing to be opportunistic during a period of tragedy.

 

Scope
The extent of impact from COVID-19 and who it is affecting
Needless to say… consumer confidence is not in a good place in May 2020
Downturns are forecast across many industries… but not all
Consumer appliances and COVID-19
Typical consumer appliance key purchasing factors
Experience boosters… boosted
Start making sense
COVID-19 impact: key findings
Global economy will contract sharply in 2020
The COVID-19 pandemic impacts both supply and demand
In our baseline view, the pandemic peaks in June 2020
Three scenarios examine the impact of a more severe outbreak
Our view in short
Forecast real GDP growth in 2020 under different scenarios
Fiscal stimulus a challenge with restrictions on expenditure
How are governments trying to mitigate the downturn?
What could alleviate the economic effects of the pandemic?
What could exacerbate the economic impact of the pandemic?
Two main questions: is lockdown demand just lost? How big a recession?
COVID-19 impact on major appliances at a glance
COVID-19 impact on small appliances at a glance
The anticipated routes to disruption
Macro environment: reduced spending power expected in H2 2020
Macro environment: Some companies are more exposed to US/Europe
Macro environment: New houses and house moves drive 5-15% of sales
Supply chain: production suspended (or slowed) with further pain ahead
Automation proves a boon
Supply chain: disruption of global supply chains impacts parts and costs
Haier Appliances India President Eric Braganza
Channel: stores closed, online is the bright spot, while overstocks build
Two critical questions still to be answered
Consumer consumption: trading down and delayed purchasing likely
Consumer consumption : smart appliance penetration will stall (US/EU)
Consumer consumption: Is lockdown demand gone, or just postponed?
Consumer consumption: Product use and the impact of staying at home
2020 volume demand index
What if appliance extra use continues into 2021 for the full year?
Where new purchase priorities fit within the existing key buying factors
Key buying factors continued
Opportunities to support “Coping Consumers” - anti-viral washing
Language matters
Opportunities to support “Coping Consumers” - food decontamination
Opportunities to support “Coping Consumers” - air decontamination
Safety at home efforts from Haier within its “Internet of…” programmes
Digital native cooking and e-commerce sites see strongly increased traffic
Impacts to existing strategic topics: 1) The upcoming EU energy label
Impacts to existing strategic topics: 2) Auto-dosing’s smart home future
Impacts to existing strategic topics: 3) The rise of new business models
Impacts to existing strategic topics: 4) IoT , smart features and AI
Impacts to existing strategic topics: 5) The rise of cold water washing
Impacts to existing strategic topics: 6) Product sizes and product capacity
Impacts to existing strategic topics: 7) A love of “Quick” for chasing time
Impacts to existing strategic topics: 8) Assisted Living and automation
Impacts to existing strategic topics: 9) Experience support technologies
Impacts to existing strategic topics: 10) Hygiene and wellbeing at home
The economic outlook and the relationship to consumer appliances
Q2 is going to be a crash, but in-home usage offers a point of optimism
Many aspects of consumer appliance key buying factors are affected
Corporate messaging is missing the emotionally intelligent softer stories
In the eternal power versus delicate care hygiene war, 2020 has a winner
Voice is the hygienic champion of no-touch solutions to device control
Multiple building blocks of modern thinking go back under a microscope
SWOT analysis for consumer appliances during the COVID-19 period
About Euromonitor International’s Macro Model
About Via Pricing from Euromonitor International

Consumer Appliances

Consumer Appliances is the aggregation of major appliances and small appliances. Major appliances are an aggregate of the following categories: refrigeration appliances, home laundry appliances, dishwashers, large cooking appliances and microwaves. Small appliances are an aggregation of the following categories: food preparation appliances, small cooking appliances, vacuum cleaners, irons, personal care appliances, heating appliances and air treatment appliances.

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