Cigarettes and Alternative Nicotine Products in Asia Pacific

February 2024

While cigarettes were recording a second year of positive growth in 2022, boosted by further normalisation post-pandemic, enabling a fuller return of mobility, inbound tourists and social lives, there was a mixed picture in the newer alternatives to traditional tobacco. E-vapour products were hit by the raft of new regulations on these products in China, while heated tobacco continued to thrive, helped by the region housing the biggest market for these products globally: Japan.

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Key findings

Cigarettes an important industry in China

E-vapour products have been subject to much more stringent regulations of late in China (eg tax hikes, cap on e-liquid strength, ban on open vaping systems), decimating sales in 2022. However, sales of traditional cigarettes were growing in China, with this industry, overseen by the State Tobacco Monopoly Administration, an important one in this country in terms of tax take and employment.

Tax hikes and heated tobacco boom hit cigarette sales in Japan

Japan experienced steep declines in its unit volume sales of cigarettes between 2017 and 2020 as the government implemented significant tax rises over this period as it looked to reduce smoking prevalence. Another key factor behind these declines was the strong emergence of heated tobacco products, with Japan home to the biggest market for these products globally.

Chinese ban on e-vaping flavours will continue to resonate going forward

The ban on flavours in e-vapour products will continue to undermine the e-vaping market in China in the coming years. With Hong Kong recently joining India in banning vaping, similar moves are also being discussed in other countries across the region.

Heated tobacco expected to continue growing in Asia Pacific

In Japan and South Korea, Asia Pacific houses the first and fourth biggest heated tobacco markets globally, with both expected to continue growing in the coming years. Dynamic performances are expected in relatively new heated tobacco markets like the Philippines, although the absence of heated tobacco products in the region’s two most populous nations (China, India) could hold back the category’s development over 2022-2027.

Scope
Key findings
Asia Pacific the biggest regional market for sales of cigarettes
Asia Pacific the biggest regional market for heated tobacco
Decline in 2020, positive growth from 2021, but modest forecast period increases expected
Bar 2023, growth expected for smokeless tobacco, e-vapour products and heated tobacco
Major losses in Japan, but sales increase in China
Losses for e-vaping in China, gains for heated tobacco in Japan and South Korea
Slim and superslim cigarettes seeing strong growth in China
Tobacco free oral nicotine products seeing strong growth in Pakistan
Vietnam adds nearly 10 billion new cigarette sales over 2017-2022
Heated tobacco products the best-developed category
State Tobacco Monopoly Administration with a clear focus on high-end cigarettes in China
Sales of cigarettes declining in Japan as smokers switch to heated tobacco
Heated tobacco continues to dominate sales in next-generation products
Sales of e-vapour products devastated by the raft of new regulations in China
E-vapour products banned in a number of markets
E-vapour products performing strongly in Indonesia
Small local grocers the main distribution channel for cigarettes in Asia Pacific
Convenience stores lead sales in Japan and South Korea
Convenience stores the main distribution channel in Japan and South Korea
Vaping specialists a key channel in Indonesia
Concentrated competitive landscapes nationally for cigarettes
Indonesian players launch smaller pack sizes at lower price points after tax hike
PMI, JTI and BAT present across much of the region
China National Tobacco Corp’s brands dominate the top 10 rankings
RELX Technology manages to gain share in Chinese e-vapour products in 2022
Philip Morris International the leading player in heated tobacco products in Asia Pacific
Positive growth expected for unit volume sales of cigarettes over the forecast period
Chinese market will drive the overall regional performance in the coming years
Positive outlook for heated tobacco, negative outlook for e-vapour products
Heated tobacco will drive growth in the overall category
Bans and stricter regulations will stymie the e-vaping performance
China: Market Context
China: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Hong Kong, China: Market Context
Hong Kong, China: Competitive and Retail Landscape
India: Market Context
India: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Indonesia: Market Context
Indonesia: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Japan: Market Context
Japan: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Malaysia: Market Context
Malaysia: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Pakistan: Market Context
Pakistan: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Philippines: Market Context
Philippines: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Singapore: Market Context
Singapore: Competitive and Retail Landscape
South Korea: Market Context
South Korea: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Taiwan: Market Context
Taiwan: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Thailand: Market Context
Thailand: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Vietnam: Market Context
Vietnam: Competitive and Retail Landscape

Tobacco

Passport Tobacco covers the seven major tobacco categories: Cigarettes, Cigars & Cigarillos, Smoking tobacco (made up of Pipe tobacco and RYO tobacco), Smokeless Tobacco (snuff and chewing tobacco), E-Vapour Products (closed and open); Heated Tobacco; and Tobacco Free Oral Nicotine. Smoking paraphernalia such as pipes, rolling papers, lighters or matches, etc., are not included, nor are nicotine replacement therapy (NRT) products, which are part of Euromonitor's Passport Consumer Healthcare database.

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