Ageing Matters: The Future of Older Populations

June 2020

With falling birth rates and rising life expectancy, the older demographic is growing rapidly as a proportion of the global population, creating significant commercial opportunities (and challenges), as well as giving rise to new societal, economic and consumption trends. Insights into trends and issues brought about by population ageing, including the impact of Coronavirus (COVID-19) on older consumers, can help companies formulate strategies to stay profitable and relevant in the long term.

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Key Findings

The world 65+ year-old population will surpass one billion by 2031

Rising life expectancy and falling birth rates will continue to drive global ageing. Between 2019 and 2040, the population aged 65+ will almost double, to reach 1.3 billion, with the 80+ population being the fastest growing cohort. Population ageing will change the labour market, consumption and economic growth.

Asia Pacific and Latin America will see the strongest rise in older populations

Ageing has become a global phenomenon, as the developing countries are now experiencing faster growth in older populations. Asia Pacific and Latin America will see a sharp rise in the median age and the old age dependency ratio. South Korea, Singapore and Puerto Rico will join the top 10 oldest countries in the world by 2040.

COVID-19 underlines the need for countries and businesses to adapt to population ageing

The COVID-19 pandemic has raised global awareness of population ageing, with implications for healthcare and pension systems, as well as for business strategies. While COVID-19 has put older people’s health and wellbeing at risk, it can also foster digital adoption among older consumers.

A lucrative market but with wide variations

The population aged 65+ typically enjoys relatively high purchasing power, as a result of lifelong accumulation of wealth and multiple income sources. The fortunes of older people do, however, vary widely from country to country, and even within a country. In many countries where social protection systems are inadequate, older people are particularly vulnerable to economic insecurity, as well as poverty.

Serving the older demographic as a strategy for growth

Given the rising importance of older consumers, business strategies that adapt to this demographic shift and innovate to better serve the diverse needs of this consumer segment are likely to achieve long-term success.

Scope
Key findings
Global population ageing: past, present and future
Older consumers: past, present and future
Population ageing shapes the world we live in
Life expectancy and fertility rates are factors driving global ageing
The “old age” threshold and measures of population ageing
Eastern European population to have the highest median age
Strong rises in the share of 65+ cohort in Asia and Western Europe
Old age dependency ratio rises rapidly in Asia and Latin America
Developing countries now ageing faster than the developed world
COVID-19 impacts older people’s health and wellbeing …
… while it can accelerate digital adoption among them
COVID-19 highlights healthcare and pension pressures
Finland: leveraging technology for elderly care
Inclusion of older consumers in digital and online solutions
Woolworths Australia: delivering essential items to older shoppers
The economic power of older consumers
Japan: one in three people will be aged 65+ in 2040
Consumption by aged 60+ households set to rise the most in Japan
Mikakuto: prominent in the development of functional confectionery
Germany: income concentrated among the older population
Older Germans prioritise travel and holidays
A-ROSA: leading cruises into a new normal
US: home to 80 million older consumers in 2040
Health spending absorbs a third of US older households’ budget
ElliQ: a digital companion for happier ageing
China: the world's largest older population
Essentials absorb one in two dollars spent by older Chinese
Alibaba targeting China’s ageing population
Russia: low and declining income for older consumers
Older Russians grapple with economic hardship
Vkus Vill: making healthy eating affordable
Towards the era of longevity
Challenges and opportunities for business
Be inclusive and adaptive to reach older consumers
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