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Country Report

Retailing in Nigeria

Mar 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Nigerian retailing continues to see strong growth

Retailing in Nigeria has continued to expand, with strong growth in value sales in 2011. Growth is due to the size and increase in the Nigerian population, the growth in particular of the urban population, and the increase in disposable income among some (but not all) segments of the population. Apart from store-based retailing, there is also strong growth of non-store retailing, although this remains a very small segment, due to increasing ownership of computers, increased access to the internet, and government policies encouraging ‘cashless’ shopping.

Formal retail category continues to replace informal retailing

The formal retail category in particular is benefiting from government policies encouraging international retailers as well as other policies discouraging open air street retailing. From being largely focused in open spaces, with a bargaining culture determining prices, the retail industry in Nigeria continues to increase in formality, largely driven by the efforts of some state governments to ban street trading, revitalise city centres and modernise trading standards. The expansion of international retailers has also had an effect on small neighbourhood stores, who have adapted to consumer tastes to change the profile of products they store as well as the layout and design of their stores. And, in a further boost to formal retailing, the lifting of the ban on importation of textiles and furniture at the end of 2010 is encouraging formal retailing in the apparel specialist retailing channel, whereas traditionally such retailing is undertaken in informal channels, where second hand clothes and cheap, but illegally imported clothes were sold.

Retailers realise the benefit of mixing grocery and non-grocery

In line with growing purchasing power of Nigerians and higher demand for convenience in one-stop shopping, traditional grocery retailers have increased the stock and range of non-grocery items they offer. In addition to groceries, grocery retailers also sell items such as clothes and footwear, consumer electronics and appliances, books, toys, personal and homecare products, as well as household furniture and furnishings. On the other hand, non-grocery retailers such as Game have decided on a strategy of increasing the grocery proportion of items in their stores.

The competitive environment is highly fragmented

Nigerian retail is still dominated by the so-called ‘informal channels’ (which is not to say that they are illegal), particularly the open markets where all sorts of things are sold from food and clothes, to electronics, and so on. The market thus remains quite fragmented, with no major concerns holding strong share. But with the increased presence of international chains such as Retail Supermarket Nigeria Limited’s Shoprite and Artee Industries Ltd’s Spar, the environment is changing slowly and becoming slightly less fragmented.

Strong forecast growth in store-based and non-store retailing expected

Over the forecast period, the Nigerian retail industry should continue to see strong and sustained growth in value sales. Population growth, particularly of the young and urban population, rise in incomes, and changing structure to the environment from informal to formal channels would be factors supporting this growth. The supermarkets and hypermarkets channels should be among the fastest growing, due to a high number of new outlets expected to be opened, whilst in terms of non-store retailing, internet retailing is expected to see strong growth as the number of computer owners increases and safety fears are eased through the availability of trusted providers of internet retail.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Retailing industry in Nigeria with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Retailing industry in Nigeria, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Nigeria for free:

The Retailing in Nigeria market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic number of stores, selling space and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • How big is the grocery/non-grocery/non-store channel in Nigeria?
  • Who are the leading retailers in Nigeria?
  • How is retailing performing in Nigeria?
  • What is the retailing environment like in Nigeria?
  • Which channels are winning or losing in the fight for consumers’ money?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Retailing market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Retailing in Nigeria - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Nigerian retailing continues to see strong growth

Formal retail category continues to replace informal retailing

Retailers realise the benefit of mixing grocery and non-grocery

The competitive environment is highly fragmented

Strong forecast growth in store-based and non-store retailing expected

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Oil-based economic growth continues, but unemployment remains strong

Government regulation is positive for retailing

Foreign direct investment is increasing

Despite ageing trend, Nigeria’s population remains relatively young

Urbanisation is growing rapidly

International retailers continue to expand

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 1 Employment in Retailing 2006-2011

MARKET DATA

  • Table 2 Sales in Retailing by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Sales in Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Sales in Retailing by Grocery vs Non-Grocery 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 6 Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 7 Retailing Company Shares: % Value 2007-2011
  • Table 8 Retailing Brand Shares: % Value 2008-2011
  • Table 9 Forecast Sales in Retailing by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 10 Forecast Sales in Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 11 Forecast Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

APPENDIX

Operating environment

Cash-and-carry

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Retailing in Nigeria - Company Profiles

Artee Industries Ltd in Retailing (Nigeria)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

  • Summary 4 Artee Industries Ltd: Private Label Portfolio

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 5 Artee Industries Ltd: Competitive Position 2011

Exclusive Stores Limited in Retailing (Nigeria)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

  • Summary 8 Exclusive Stores Limited: Private Label Portfolio

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 Exclusive Stores Limited: Competitive Position 2011

Massmart Holding Ltd in Retailing (Nigeria)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 12 Massmart Holding Ltd: Competitive Position 2011

Retail Supermarkets Nigeria Ltd in Retailing (Nigeria)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

  • Summary 15 Retail Supermarkets Nigeria Ltd: Private Label Portfolio

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 16 Retail Supermarkets Nigeria Ltd: Competitive Position 2011

Sahad Stores Ltd in Retailing (Nigeria)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

INTERNET STRATEGY

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 19 Sahad Stores Ltd: Competitive Position 2011

Grocery Retailers in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The Nigerian grocery retail environment appears to be witnessing the beginnings of a revolution in its structure, moving from traditional retailing to modern retailing. This is driven primarily by the growth of hypermarkets and supermarkets, which have previously had a low profile in the market, accounting for less than 1% of total retailing over the years.

TRADITIONAL VS MODERN

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The market for grocery retail in Nigeria is extremely fragmented, due to the high number of small outlet in traditional grocery retail retailers in particular. The retailer with the highest individual share in 2011 was Artee Industries Ltd, largely due to having the highest number of outlets (nine) in the country for its Park n Shop brand. Artee Industries Ltd also became one of the fastest growing retailers by the addition of the Spar brand to its offering. This saw it increase value sales by 23% in 2011.

PROSPECTS

  • Changes to grocery retailers seen in 2011 are the beginning of a shift in Nigeria, and are set to last in the very long term. The development of modern grocery retailing is still in its very early stages, and by the end of 2016 it is forecast that there will be over 3,300 outlets (from over 2,300 in 2011). The owners of both Shoprite and Spar have indicated their intention to open over 40 outlets in the next three years. Although this sounds like a long shot, given the slow pace of acquiring or developing land in the country, it gives an indication of the growth to be expected in the next five years.

CHANNEL DATA

  • Table 13 Sales in Grocery Retailers by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 14 Sales in Grocery Retailers by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 15 Grocery Retailers Company Shares: % Value 2007-2011
  • Table 16 Grocery Retailers Brand Shares: % Value 2008-2011
  • Table 17 Forecast Sales in Grocery Retailers by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 18 Forecast Sales in Grocery Retailers by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Non-Grocery Retailers in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • There is a lot of excitement in the specialist channels of apparel specialist retailers and home and garden specialist retailers, as at the end of 2010 the country lifted the import prohibition on textiles and furniture. There is thus expected to be a boom in clothing stores, with Etam opening a store in June, and Mr Price expected to open in the country in the near future (the company had already started recruiting staff by the end of 2011, and is expected to open its first store by March 2012).

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In a highly fragmented category, Exclusive Stores Limited leads in 2011 with a value share of 2%. This department store has the highest number of outlets of non-grocery retailers, with seven outlets in the country, and stocks a wide variety of non-grocery items.

PROSPECTS

  • Growth in the non-grocery retailing category is expected to be relatively slow over the forecast period, at a constant value CAGR of only 2%. This is mainly due to the competition posed by grocery retailers stocking a wider range of non-grocery items. This trend will continue to have a negative impact on non-grocery retailing in the future.

CHANNEL DATA

  • Table 19 Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 20 Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 21 Non-Grocery Retailers Company Shares: % Value 2007-2011
  • Table 22 Non-Grocery Retailers Brand Shares: % Value 2008-2011
  • Table 23 Forecast Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 24 Forecast Sales in Non-Grocery Retailers by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Non-Store Retailing in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Non-store retailing’s growth of 25% is boosted particularly by the fast growth, over the last five years, of internet retailing, which also saw 25% value growth in 2011. Computer and internet use is growing fast in Nigeria from a very low base. In particular, trust, which has been a challenge for internet retailing, is improving among the populace, who have been introduced to electronic payment methods in shopping and through their banks, and so have started to believe they would not lose their money if they shop electronically.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In a highly fragmented category, Forever Living Products Nigeria Ltd leads non-store retailing with a 1% value share in 2011. Direct selling has a longstanding presence in Nigeria and Forever Living Products Nigeria Ltd has built up its networks to ensure leadership of this channel. The company sells a wide range of organic beauty and personal care products through direct selling. Its products are considered to be of exceptional quality, which is one of the reasons for its continued category leadership.

PROSPECTS

  • At the beginning of 2012, the Central Bank of Nigeria began a pilot scheme in Lagos, called ‘Cashless Lagos’ and is aggressively promoting the use of electronic payments in order to reduce the flow of paper money in the economy. This is likely to have a positive impact on internet retailing in addition to the increase in computer and internet usage that have already been driving growth in the channel.

CHANNEL DATA

  • Table 25 Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 26 Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 27 Non-Store Retailing Company Shares: % Value 2007-2011
  • Table 28 Non-Store Retailing Brand Shares: % Value 2008-2011
  • Table 29 Forecast Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 30 Forecast Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Retailing
    • Store-based Retailing
      • Grocery Retailers
        • Modern Grocery Retailers
          • Convenience Stores
          • Discounters
          • Forecourt Retailers
            • Chained Forecourt Retailers
            • Independent Forecourt Retailers
          • Hypermarkets
          • Supermarkets
        • Traditional Grocery Retailers
          • Food/Drink/Tobacco Specialists
          • Independent Small Grocers
          • Other Grocery Retailers
      • Non-Grocery Retailers
        • Apparel Specialist Retailers
        • Electronics and Appliance Specialist Retailers
        • Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers
          • Beauty Specialist Retailers
          • Chemists/Pharmacies
          • Parapharmacies/Drugstores
          • Other Healthcare Specialist Retailers
        • Home and Garden Specialist Retailers
          • DIY, Home Improvement and Garden Centres
          • Furniture and Furnishings Stores
        • Leisure and Personal Goods Specialist Retailers
          • Jewellers
          • Media Products Stores
          • Pet Shops and Superstores
          • Sports Goods Stores
          • Stationers/Office Supply Stores
          • Traditional Toys and Games Stores
          • Other Leisure and Personal Goods Specialist Retailers
        • Mixed Retailers
          • Department Stores
          • Mass Merchandisers
          • Variety Stores
          • Warehouse Clubs
        • Other Non-Grocery Retailers
    • Non-Store Retailing
      • Direct Selling
        • Beauty and Personal Care Direct Selling
        • Apparel Direct Selling
        • Consumer Electronics and Video Games Hardware Direct Selling
        • Consumer Healthcare Direct Selling
        • DIY and Gardening Direct Selling
        • Consumer Appliances Direct Selling
        • Home Care Direct Selling
        • Housewares and Home Furnishings Direct Selling
        • Media Products Direct Selling
        • Food and Drink Direct Selling
        • Toys and Games Direct Selling
        • Other Direct Selling
      • Homeshopping
        • Beauty and Personal Care Homeshopping
        • Apparel Homeshopping
        • Consumer Electronics and Video Games Hardware Homeshopping
        • Consumer Healthcare Homeshopping
        • DIY and Gardening Homeshopping
        • Consumer Appliances Homeshopping
        • Home Care Homeshopping
        • Housewares and Home Furnishings Homeshopping
        • Media Products Homeshopping
        • Food and Drink Homeshopping
        • Toys and Games Homeshopping
        • Other Homeshopping
      • Internet Retailing
        • Beauty and Personal Care Internet Retailing
        • Apparel Internet Retailing
        • Consumer Electronics and Video Games Hardware Internet Retailing
        • Consumer Healthcare Internet Retailing
        • DIY and Gardening Internet Retailing
        • Consumer Appliances Internet Retailing
        • Home Care Internet Retailing
        • Housewares and Home Furnishings Internet Retailing
        • Media Products Internet Retailing
        • Food and Drink Internet Retailing
        • Toys and Games Internet Retailing
        • Other Internet Retailing
      • Vending
        • Packaged Drinks Vending
        • Packaged Foods Vending
        • Personal Hygiene Products Vending
        • Tobacco Products Vending
        • Unpackaged Drinks Vending
        • Toys and Games Vending
        • Other Products Vending

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Employment
  • Grocery vs non-grocery

Market size details:

  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price excl sales tax per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Sites/outlets
  • Sites/outlets % growth
  • Sites/outlets per capita
  • Selling space
  • Selling space % growth
  • Selling space per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price incl sales tax per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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