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Country Report

Wine in Mexico

Dec 2011

Price: $900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Wine industry in Mexico with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Wine industry in Mexico, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

The Wine in Mexico market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market volume shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Wine in Mexico?
  • What are the major brands in Mexico?
  • How do sales of new world wine perform in comparisons to old world wine?
  • Which countries are the main wine exporters and importers?
  • Is wine mainly consumed in on- or off-trade channels? 
  • Have other sparkling wines like cava and prosecco benefited during the recession at the cost of Champagne?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Alcoholic Drinks market research database.

Sample Analysis

TRENDS

  • The consumption of wine in Mexico has gained momentum in recent years. Though initially the lack of knowledge regarding wine types, as well as its correct pairing with food, inhibited the bulk of consumers from further approaching this segment, both manufacturers and retailers have continuously engaged in the promotion of educational campaigns in order to increase the knowledge of target consumers. Top gourmet retailer La Europea, which offers a wide selection of wines and gourmet food in Mexico, recently implemented its Cava-Club Seleccion programme as an exclusive offer for American Express Platinum card holders. By means of an annual payment of Mx$5,000.00 (US$405.85), subscribers to this programme receive a box with an exclusive wine selection from La Europea. Furthermore, they also have access to private tasting events from the most renowned brands of wine and other alcoholic drinks. Some retailers, such as City Market, the upscale supermarket format of the Controladora Comercial Mexicana retailing conglomerate, tend to organise tasting gourmet events on a regular basis. Since these outlets are typically located in upper-income neighbourhoods in Mexico City, it is easier to attract an affluent audience of consumers eager to learn more about the latest wine and food-pairing trends. This educational phenomenon around wine is gradually but consistently replicating throughout Mexico, and taking place in the growing number of wine cellars, specialised restaurants/bars or private tasting events.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The wine environment remains dominated by the leader company La Madrileña in 2011, accounting for over 23% of total volume sales in Mexico. La Madrileña strength stems from its solid presence in the fortified wine and vermouth, which accounts for 16% of total wine volume, by means of its Tres Coronas brand. La Madrileña also counts on the distribution in Mexico of the E & J Gallo and Carlo Rossi still light grape wine brands, which has credited the company a consistent presence in the country. Casa Pedro Domecq was the second most important competitor in wine in 2011, accounting for 13% of total volume sales. This player owns a solid portfolio of well-known brands within the still light grape wine category, such as XA Domecq, Padre Kino, Calafia, Marqués de Riscal and Chateau Domecq. Digrans SA de CV was the third most important player with a 10% volume share in 2011 in thanks to its Concha y Toro and Trio brands within still light grape wine.

PROSPECTS

  • Mexicans will continue to make their incipient explorations of wine culture over the forecast period, supported by growing information sources, such as specialised publications, online reviews and in-store customer orientation. As Mexicans get more exposure to global trends this will have a positive impact on how consumption of wine is perceived as a sophisticated habit that many potential consumers want to explore. Home-drinking trends will become more expansive over the forecast period, and will allow consumers to increase their wine knowledge at a more convenient cost.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Wine in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The consumption of wine in Mexico has gained momentum in recent years. Though initially the lack of knowledge regarding wine types, as well as its correct pairing with food, inhibited the bulk of consumers from further approaching this segment, both manufacturers and retailers have continuously engaged in the promotion of educational campaigns in order to increase the knowledge of target consumers. Top gourmet retailer La Europea, which offers a wide selection of wines and gourmet food in Mexico, recently implemented its Cava-Club Seleccion programme as an exclusive offer for American Express Platinum card holders. By means of an annual payment of Mx$5,000.00 (US$405.85), subscribers to this programme receive a box with an exclusive wine selection from La Europea. Furthermore, they also have access to private tasting events from the most renowned brands of wine and other alcoholic drinks. Some retailers, such as City Market, the upscale supermarket format of the Controladora Comercial Mexicana retailing conglomerate, tend to organise tasting gourmet events on a regular basis. Since these outlets are typically located in upper-income neighbourhoods in Mexico City, it is easier to attract an affluent audience of consumers eager to learn more about the latest wine and food-pairing trends. This educational phenomenon around wine is gradually but consistently replicating throughout Mexico, and taking place in the growing number of wine cellars, specialised restaurants/bars or private tasting events.

PRODUCTION, IMPORTS AND EXPORTS

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The wine environment remains dominated by the leader company La Madrileña in 2011, accounting for over 23% of total volume sales in Mexico. La Madrileña strength stems from its solid presence in the fortified wine and vermouth, which accounts for 16% of total wine volume, by means of its Tres Coronas brand. La Madrileña also counts on the distribution in Mexico of the E & J Gallo and Carlo Rossi still light grape wine brands, which has credited the company a consistent presence in the country. Casa Pedro Domecq was the second most important competitor in wine in 2011, accounting for 13% of total volume sales. This player owns a solid portfolio of well-known brands within the still light grape wine category, such as XA Domecq, Padre Kino, Calafia, Marqués de Riscal and Chateau Domecq. Digrans SA de CV was the third most important player with a 10% volume share in 2011 in thanks to its Concha y Toro and Trio brands within still light grape wine.

PROSPECTS

  • Mexicans will continue to make their incipient explorations of wine culture over the forecast period, supported by growing information sources, such as specialised publications, online reviews and in-store customer orientation. As Mexicans get more exposure to global trends this will have a positive impact on how consumption of wine is perceived as a sophisticated habit that many potential consumers want to explore. Home-drinking trends will become more expansive over the forecast period, and will allow consumers to increase their wine knowledge at a more convenient cost.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 1 Sales of Wine by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Sales of Wine by Category: Total Value 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Sales of Wine by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Sales of Wine by Category: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Sales of Wine by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 6 Sales of Wine by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 7 Sales of Wine by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 8 Sales of Wine by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Volume Sales of Still Red Wine by Price Segment 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Volume Sales of Still White Wine by Price Segment 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Volume Sales of Still Rosé Wine by Price Segment 2006-2011
  • Table 12 Volume Sales of Other Sparkling Wine by Price Segment 2006-2011
  • Table 13 Sales of Still Red Wine by Grape/Varietal Type 2006-2011
  • Table 14 Sales of Still White Wine by Grape/Varietal Type 2006-2011
  • Table 15 Sales of Still Rosé Wine by Grape/Varietal Type 2006-2011
  • Table 16 Sales of Still Red Wine by Quality Classification 2006-2011
  • Table 17 Sales of Still White Wine by Quality Classification 2006-2011
  • Table 18 Sales of Still Rosé Wine by Quality Classification 2006-2011
  • Table 19 Wine Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 20 Wine Imports by Country of Origin: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 21 Wine Imports by Country of Origin: Total Value 2005-2010
  • Table 22 Wine Exports by Country of Destination: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 23 Wine Exports by Country of Destination: Total Value 2005-2010
  • Table 24 Company Shares of Still Light Grape Wine by National Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 25 Company Shares of Still Light Grape Wine by Global Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 26 Brand Shares of Still Light Grape Wine 2008-2011
  • Table 27 Company Shares of Champagne by National Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 28 Company Shares of Champagne by Global Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 29 Brand Shares of Champagne 2008-2011
  • Table 30 Company Shares of Other Sparkling Wine by National Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 31 Company Shares of Other Sparkling Wine by Global Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 32 Brand Shares of Other Sparkling Wine 2008-2011
  • Table 33 Company Shares of Fortified Wine and Vermouth by National Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 34 Company Shares of Fortified Wine and Vermouth by Global Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 35 Brand Shares of Fortified Wine and Vermouth 2008-2011
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Wine by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Wine by Category: Total Value 2011-2016
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Wine by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Wine by Category: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016

Wine in Mexico - Company Profiles

La Madrileña SA de CV in Alcoholic Drinks (Mexico)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 3 La Madrileña SA de CV: Competitive Position 2011

Monte Xanic SA de CV in Alcoholic Drinks (Mexico)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 6 Monte Xanic SA de CV: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Monte Xanic SA de CV: Competitive Position 2011

Valle Redondo SA de CV in Alcoholic Drinks (Mexico)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 10 Valle Redondo SA de CV: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 11 Valle Redondo SA de CV: Competitive Position 2011

Alcoholic Drinks in Mexico - Industry Context

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Economic recovery becomes more evident in 2011

Aspirational consumers reshape map of alcoholic drinks

Multinational presence see great advance in Mexico with Heineken

Home-drinking trend supports dominance of off-trade channel

Brighter perspectives in coming years

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Beer manufacturers strive for diversity

Packaging trends revive interest in alcoholic drinks

National insecurity promotes home drinking

Players continue to invest in advertising campaigns

New rules of the game may alter market dynamics

Key new product launches

  • Summary 12 Key New Product Developments 2010-2011

Specialist retailer

  • Summary 13 Leading Specialist Retailers 2011

Market merger and acquisition activity

MARKET BACKGROUND

Legislation

  • Table 40 Number of On-trade Establishments by Type 2006-2011

TAXATION AND DUTY LEVIES

  • Table 41 Taxation and Duty Levies on Alcoholic Drinks 2011
  • Table 42 Typical Wholesaler and Retailer Off-trade Mark-ups by Selected Categories 2011
  • Table 43 Selling Margin of a Typical Beer Brand 2011
  • Table 44 Selling Margin of a Typical Wine Brand 2011
  • Table 45 Selling Margin of a Typical Spirits Brand 2011

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Contraband/parallel trade

Duty-free

Cross-border/private imports

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 46 Retail Consumer Expenditure on Alcoholic Drinks 2006-2011

MARKET DATA

  • Table 47 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 48 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Value 2006-2011
  • Table 49 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Volume 2011
  • Table 52 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Value 2011
  • Table 53 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Volume 2011
  • Table 54 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Value 2011
  • Table 55 Company Shares of Alcoholic Drinks by Global Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 56 Off-trade Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Distribution Format: % Value Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 57 Off-trade Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Volume Analysis 2011
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Value 2011-2016
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 61 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016

DEFINITIONS

Published data comparisons

  • Summary 14 Research Sources

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Wine

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Distribution
  • Exports by country - value
  • Exports by country - volume
  • Imports by country - value
  • Imports by country - volume
  • Off-trade vs on-trade
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Trade statistics - value
  • Trade statistics - volume
  • Wine by grape type
  • Wine by price
  • Wine quality classification

Market size details:

  • Off-trade volume
  • Off-trade volume % growth
  • Off-trade volume per capita
  • On-trade volume
  • On-trade volume % growth
  • On-trade volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Off-trade value retail selling price % growth
  • Off-trade value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value retail selling price % growth
  • On-trade value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value retail selling price % growth
  • Total value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Off-trade value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • On-trade value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Total value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Total value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Total value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade rtd volume
  • Off-trade rtd volume % growth
  • Off-trade rtd volume per capita
  • On-trade rtd volume
  • On-trade rtd volume % growth
  • On-trade rtd volume per capita
  • Total rtd volume
  • Total rtd volume % growth
  • Total rtd volume per capita
  • Off-trade volume litres of pure alcohol
  • Off-trade volume litres of pure alcohol % growth
  • Off-trade volume litres of pure alcohol per capita
  • On-trade volume litres of pure alcohol
  • On-trade volume litres of pure alcohol % growth
  • On-trade volume litres of pure alcohol per capita
  • Total volume litres of pure alcohol
  • Total volume litres of pure alcohol % growth
  • Total volume litres of pure alcohol per capita
  • Off-trade value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Off-trade value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • On-trade value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Total value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Total value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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