Retailing in Estonia

Retailing in Estonia

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

COVID-19 impact on retailing

COVID-19 country impact

Convenience, sustainability helping shape retail models

Discounters finally set to arrive in Estonia

What next for retailing?

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Informal retailing

Opening hours

Summary 1 Standard Opening Hours by Channel Type 2019

Physical retail landscape

Cash and carry

Seasonality

Christmas
Midsummer Festival

Payments and delivery

Emerging business models

MARKET DATA

Table 1 Sales in Retailing by Store-based vs Non-Store: Value 2015-2020
Table 2 Sales in Retailing by Store-based vs Non-Store: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 3 Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Channel: Value 2015-2020
Table 4 Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Channel: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 5 Store-Based Retailing Outlets by Channel: Units 2015-2020
Table 6 Store-Based Retailing Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2015-2020
Table 7 Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Channel: Value 2015-2020
Table 8 Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Channel: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 9 Non-Grocery Specialists: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2015-2020
Table 10 Non-Grocery Specialists: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2015-2020
Table 11 Sales in Non-Grocery Specialists by Channel: Value 2015-2020
Table 12 Sales in Non-Grocery Specialists by Channel: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 13 Non-Grocery Specialists Outlets by Channel: Units 2015-2020
Table 14 Non-Grocery Specialists Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2015-2020
Table 15 Retailing GBO Company Shares: % Value 2016-2020
Table 16 Retailing GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2017-2020
Table 17 Store-based Retailing GBO Company Shares: % Value 2016-2020
Table 18 Store-based Retailing GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2017-2020
Table 19 Store-based Retailing LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2017-2020
Table 20 Non-Store Retailing GBO Company Shares: % Value 2016-2020
Table 21 Non-Store Retailing GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2017-2020
Table 22 Non-Grocery Specialists GBO Company Shares: % Value 2016-2020
Table 23 Non-Grocery Specialists GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2017-2020
Table 24 Non-Grocery Specialists LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2017-2020
Table 25 Non-Grocery Specialists LBN Brand Shares: Selling Space 2017-2020
Table 26 Forecast Sales in Retailing by Store-based vs Non-Store: Value 2020-2025
Table 27 Forecast Sales in Retailing by Store-based vs Non-Store: % Value Growth 2020-2025
Table 28 Forecast Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Channel: Value 2020-2025
Table 29 Forecast Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Channel: % Value Growth 2020-2025
Table 30 Forecast Store-Based Retailing Outlets by Channel: Units 2020-2025
Table 31 Forecast Store-Based Retailing Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2020-2025
Table 32 Forecast Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Channel: Value 2020-2025
Table 33 Forecast Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Channel: % Value Growth 2020-2025
Table 34 Non-Grocery Specialists Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2020-2025
Table 35 Non-Grocery Specialists Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2020-2025
Table 36 Forecast Sales in Non-Grocery Specialists by Channel: Value 2020-2025
Table 37 Forecast Sales in Non-Grocery Specialists by Channel: % Value Growth 2020-2025
Table 38 Forecast Non-Grocery Specialists Outlets by Channel: Units 2020-2025
Table 39 Forecast Non-Grocery Specialists Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2020-2025

DISCLAIMER

GLOBAL MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT

GLOBAL INDUSTRY ENVIRONMENT

SOURCES

Summary 2 Research Sources

Modern Grocery Retailers in Estonia

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Reluctance to go in-store, restrictions on occupancy slows sales growth of modern grocery

Pandemic accelerates trend to shop locally, avoid large outlets

Marked uptick in retain innovation driven by virus

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

Quick recovery, and convenience trends will strengthen over the forecast period

Arrival of Lidl to make huge splash, as domestic players race to develop resistance strategies

Strong Estonian tradition of innovation will continue adding value to channel

CHANNEL DATA

Table 40 Modern Grocery Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2015-2020
Table 41 Modern Grocery Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2015-2020
Table 42 Sales in Modern Grocery Retailers by Channel: Value 2015-2020
Table 43 Sales in Modern Grocery Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 44 Modern Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2015-2020
Table 45 Modern Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2015-2020
Table 46 Modern Grocery Retailers GBO Company Shares: % Value 2016-2020
Table 47 Modern Grocery Retailers GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2017-2020
Table 48 Modern Grocery Retailers LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2017-2020
Table 49 Modern Grocery Retailers LBN Brand Shares: Selling Space 2017-2020
Table 50 Modern Grocery Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2020-2025
Table 51 Modern Grocery Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2020-2025
Table 52 Forecast Sales in Modern Grocery Retailers by Channel: Value 2020-2025
Table 53 Forecast Sales in Modern Grocery Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2020-2025
Table 54 Forecast Modern Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2020-2025
Table 55 Forecast Modern Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2020-2025

Traditional Grocery Retailers in Estonia

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Occupancy restrictions and specialisation tendency hit sales

Travel bans hit alcohol specialists as Finns forced to stay at home

Premium position of many retailers helps offset collapse of footfall

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

Easing of restrictions key to growth, but traditional outlets still need to add value to manage challenge of modern grocery channel

Alcohol strength will rebuild footfall, concentrate competitive environment

Sustainability, dietary health, provenance all potential marketing points

CHANNEL DATA

Table 56 Traditional Grocery Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2015-2020
Table 57 Traditional Grocery Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2015-2020
Table 58 Traditional Grocery Retailers GBO Company Shares: % Value 2016-2020
Table 59 Traditional Grocery Retailers GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2017-2020
Table 60 Traditional Grocery Retailers LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2017-2020
Table 61 Traditional Grocery Retailers LBN Brand Shares: Selling Space 2017-2020
Table 62 Traditional Grocery Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2020-2025
Table 63 Traditional Grocery Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2020-2025

Apparel and Footwear Specialist Retailers in Estonia

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Pandemic closures and subsequent protocols see footfall collapse in 2020

Lockdown upends consumer needs for apparel and footwear, cuts demand

COVID-19 accelerates e-commerce, strengthens importance of digital strategies

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

Pureplay e-commerce will threaten growth

Consumer views on fast fashion set to see significant shift

Adding value through in-store experience

CHANNEL DATA

Table 64 Apparel And Footwear Specialist Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2015-2020
Table 65 Apparel And Footwear Specialist Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2015-2020
Table 66 Apparel And Footwear Specialist Retailers GBO Company Shares: % Value 2016-2020
Table 67 Apparel And Footwear Specialist Retailers GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2017-2020
Table 68 Apparel And Footwear Specialist Retailers LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2017-2020
Table 69 Apparel And Footwear Specialist Retailers LBN Brand Shares: Selling Space 2017-2020
Table 70 Apparel And Footwear Specialist Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2020-2025
Table 71 Apparel And Footwear Specialist Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2020-2025

Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers in Estonia

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Sales slow, but back end of 2020 sees strong recovery

Health worries fail to deliver strong growth in sales

Travel ban, lockdown hit sales for optical goods stores

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

Outlet closures will slow growth, but sales will recover as virus fades

Opportunity for chemists/pharmacies as consumer health awareness sharpens

Regulatory changes will reform channel

CHANNEL DATA

Table 72 Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2015-2020
Table 73 Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2015-2020
Table 74 Sales in Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers by Channel: Value 2015-2020
Table 75 Sales in Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 76 Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers GBO Company Shares: % Value 2016-2020
Table 77 Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2017-2020
Table 78 Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2017-2020
Table 79 Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers LBN Brand Shares: Selling Space 2017-2020
Table 80 Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2020-2025
Table 81 Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2020-2025
Table 82 Forecast Sales in Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers by Channel: Value 2020-2025
Table 83 Forecast Sales in Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2020-2025

Mixed Retailers in Estonia

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Pandemic accelerates underlying negative trends

Curbs on social gathering, work weaken demand for department store offer

Digital weakness exposed by crisis

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

Department stores can benefit from sleeker model going forward

Variety stores meeting wide variety of needs, but face challenges

Challenges from online, but new models may offer opportunities

CHANNEL DATA

Table 84 Mixed Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2015-2020
Table 85 Mixed Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2015-2020
Table 86 Sales in Mixed Retailers by Channel: Value 2015-2020
Table 87 Sales in Mixed Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 88 Mixed Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2015-2020
Table 89 Mixed Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2015-2020
Table 90 Mixed Retailers GBO Company Shares: % Value 2016-2020
Table 91 Mixed Retailers GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2017-2020
Table 92 Mixed Retailers LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2017-2020
Table 93 Mixed Retailers LBN Brand Shares: Selling Space 2017-2020
Table 94 Mixed Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2020-2025
Table 95 Mixed Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2020-2025
Table 96 Forecast Sales in Mixed Retailers by Channel: Value 2020-2025
Table 97 Forecast Sales in Mixed Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2020-2025
Table 98 Forecast Mixed Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2020-2025
Table 99 Forecast Mixed Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2020-2025

Direct Selling in Estonia

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Pandemic restrictions make sales model harder to operate

Health concerns in Estonia buoy consumer health specialists

Pandemic strengthens digital use

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

Consumers open to face-to-face post pandemic

Turning product representatives into influencers

Room for new product types in the direct selling channel

CHANNEL DATA

Table 100 Direct Selling by Category: Value 2015-2020
Table 101 Direct Selling by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 102 Direct Selling GBO Company Shares: % Value 2016-2020
Table 103 Direct Selling GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2017-2020
Table 104 Direct Selling Forecasts by Category: Value 2020-2025
Table 105 Direct Selling Forecasts by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025

E-Commerce in Estonia

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Lockdown, anxiety, other restrictions lift e-commerce sales

Acceleration supported by Estonia’s digital infrastructure, local players emerge strongly

Grocery coverage grows thanks to crisis, still room for improvement

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

Strong local industry will see growth, but foreign threats emerging

Rush back to stores post-lockdown and experiential improvements may slow e-commerce in short term

Strong opportunities in retail innovation

CHANNEL DATA

Table 106 E-Commerce by Channel and Category: Value 2015-2020
Table 107 E-Commerce by Channel and Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 108 E-Commerce GBO Company Shares: % Value 2016-2020
Table 109 E-Commerce GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2017-2020
Table 110 Forecast E-Commerce by Channel and Category: Value 2020-2025
Table 111 Forecast E-Commerce by Channel and Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025

Mobile E-Commerce in Estonia

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Pandemic helps support explosive growth trends

Strong digital infrastructure and high levels of trust support switch in 2020

Leading retailers benefit from preparedness

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

Push to mobile payments will boost channel

Convenience of model key to building regular use patterns

Digital natives must be short term target

CHANNEL DATA

Table 112 Mobile E-Commerce: Value 2015-2020
Table 113 Mobile E-Commerce: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 114 Mobile E-Commerce Forecasts: Value 2020-2025
Table 115 Mobile E-Commerce Forecasts: % Value Growth 2020-2025

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