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Country Report

Baby Food in Bulgaria

Price: US$900

About this Report

Executive Summary

TRENDS

  • Baby food is expected to continue registering positive volume and value growth during 2012, a situation which has come about as a result of the increasing variety of products on retail shelves, the busier lifestyles of Bulgarian mothers and ever improving distribution of baby food, which means that the most popular baby food are now more available to Bulgarian mothers than ever before. Indeed, the most important trend in baby food in Bulgaria during the first half of 2012 was the shift in retail distribution channels in favour of chained grocery retailers. The proportion of baby food distributed through health and beauty retailers and independent small grocers declined during 2012, while the proportion of baby food distributed through large supermarket chains such as Billa and hypermarkets chains such as Carrefour and Discounters such as Lidl is constantly increasing.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nestlé Bulgaria AD is expected to continue leading baby food in Bulgaria during 2012 with a 25% value share. The company has made substantial investment in order to secure nationwide distribution and create a reliable and modern image for its products. In addition, Nestlé works with leading paediatricians throughout the country to educate them on its product range and gain scientific insight which helps it to develop new product innovations. Bulgaria’s leading domestic baby food company, Ganchev AD, is set to lose its second position in baby food in 2012 in spite of its value share increasing marginally to remain on 15%. Ganchev is about to be surpassed by Hipp GmbH & Co Vertrieb KG, which managed to achieve value strong towards the end of the review period and its value share is set to rise from 14% in 2011 to 15% in 2012. Hipp has all of the ingredients necessary to be a successful baby food company: expanding distribution, competitive pricing and a presence in a wide range of baby food categories. The expanding demand for organic food in Bulgaria during 2011 and 2012 provided Hipp with a strong advantage as it offers the widest range of organic baby food in Bulgaria. More importantly, the company maintains its price advantage as the unit prices charged for its range of organic baby food products are not much higher than the regular baby food product lines of its major rivals. The second largest local competitor in baby food, Slancho OOD, is set to continue losing value share during 2012 as it competes in only one category, dried baby food, while companies such as Nestlé and Hipp have expanded into all categories of baby food.

PROSPECTS

  • The growth anticipated in baby food in Bulgaria over the forecast period is expected to derive from rising volume sales rather rising unit prices, although constant value sales are still expected to increase by 4%. The number of Bulgarian children aged under three years is expected to decline from 304,000 in 2012 to 290,000 by 2017, although higher numbers of Bulgarian parents are expected to purchase prepared baby food rather than preparing baby food at home, boosting volume growth and resulting in a healthy volume CAGR of 2% over the forecast period. It is expected that the emphasis of baby food producers on convincing consumers to trade up to baby food which is healthier and faster to prepare will be the main factor behind the positive growth projected for baby food, while the wider availability of baby food in convenient retail outlets located in close proximity to their homes will also play a role in the positive performance of baby food in Bulgaria during the forecast period.

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Baby Food industry in Bulgaria with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Baby Food industry in Bulgaria, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

The Baby Food in Bulgaria market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Baby Food in Bulgaria?
  • What are the major brands in Bulgaria?
  • How are latest breastfeeding rates impacting retail performance?
  • Are government initiatives to promote breastfeeding constraining market performance?
  • What are market opportunities for higher priced functional, organic and ethically sourced baby food?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Packaged Food market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Baby Food in Bulgaria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

PROSPECTS

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 1 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 2 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 3 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 4 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 5 Soy-based Vs Dairy-based Special Baby Milk Formula % Breakdown 2012
  • Table 6 Baby Food Company Shares 2008-2012
  • Table 7 Baby Food Brand Shares 2009-2012
  • Table 8 Sales of Baby Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 9 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 10 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 11 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Packaged Food in Bulgaria - Industry Context

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Quality of Bulgarian packaged products is improving

The Bulgarian economy started recovering from the global financial crisis

Unit prices growth is established as a lasting trend

Healthy and ‘bio’ foods grow in popularity

Investments in infrastructure made by the government and business

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Healthy and ‘bio’ foods grow in popularity

Infrastructure projects improve distribution

Quality of Bulgarian packaged products is improving

The Bulgarian economy started recovering from the global financial crisis

Unit prices growth is established as a lasting trend

FOODSERVICE – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 13 Foodservice Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 14 Foodservice Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 15 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 16 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017

IMPULSE AND INDULGENCE PRODUCTS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 17 Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 18 Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 19 Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 20 Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 21 Company Shares of Impulse and Indulgence Products 2008-2012
  • Table 22 Brand Shares of Impulse and Indulgence Products 2009-2012
  • Table 23 Forecast Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 24 Forecast Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 25 Forecast Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 26 Forecast Sales of Impulse and Indulgence Products by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

MEAL SOLUTIONS – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 27 Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 28 Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 29 Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 30 Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 31 Company Shares of Meal Solutions 2008-2012
  • Table 32 Brand Shares of Meal Solutions 2009-2012
  • Table 33 Forecast Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Meal Solutions by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

NUTRITION/STAPLES – KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Headlines

Trends

Competitive Landscape

Prospects

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 37 Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 38 Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 39 Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 40 Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 41 Company Shares of Nutrition/Staples 2008-2012
  • Table 42 Brand Shares of Nutrition/Staples 2009-2012
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Nutrition/Staples by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

MARKET DATA

  • Table 47 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2007-2012
  • Table 48 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 49 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 50 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 51 GBO Shares of Packaged Food 2008-2012
  • Table 52 NBO Shares of Packaged Food 2008-2012
  • Table 53 NBO Brand Shares of Packaged Food 2009-2012
  • Table 54 Penetration of Private Label by Category 2007-2012
  • Table 55 Sales of Packaged Food by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2007-2012
  • Table 56 Sales of Packaged Food by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2012
  • Table 57 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2012-2017
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2012-2017

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Baby Food
    • Dried Baby Food
    • Milk Formula
      • Standard Milk Formula
        • Liquid Standard Milk Formula
        • Powder Standard Milk Formula
      • Follow-on Milk Formula
        • Liquid Follow-on Milk Formula
        • Powder Follow-on Milk Formula
      • Toddler Milk Formula
        • Liquid Toddler Milk Formula
        • Powder Toddler Milk Formula
      • Special Baby Milk Formula
        • Liquid Special Baby Milk Formula
        • Powder Special Baby Milk Formula
    • Prepared Baby Food
    • Other Baby Food

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Soy-based vs dairy-based

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Foodservice volume
  • Foodservice volume % growth
  • Foodservice volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail volume (tonnes)
  • Retail volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Retail volume (tonnes) per capita
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes)
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Foodservice volume (tonnes) per capita
  • Total volume (tonnes)
  • Total volume (tonnes) % growth
  • Total volume (tonnes) per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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