Cigarettes in Algeria will continue to be characterised by consumers moving towards cheaper options, at least during the first half of the forecast period. The cost of smoking is set to continue rising in line with further excise duty hikes and inflationary pressures.
Historically, Algerians have smoked domestic products which have high levels of nicotine and tar, and international brands have launched domestically produced high-tar variants over the last two decades. Affordable high-tar cigarettes are expected to remain the largest category in both volume and current value terms over the forecast period.
Another factor likely to hamper the volume growth of cigarettes over the forecast period is the growing competition from e-vapour products and heated tobacco products. Local consumers concerned about their health will increasingly consider these to be safer alternatives to traditional tobacco products, and they are expected to become widely available across the country in the coming years.
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Cigarettes
RETAIL SALES OF DUTY PAID CIGARETTES The definition of cigarettes for the purposes of this study is duty-paid, machine manufactured white-stick products. This does not exclude brands of cigarettes that do not use white paper but it is designed to exclude the volume of non-machine manufactured products such as bidis/beedis (India) and papirosy (Russia), and other smoking products made with tobacco but that either do not resemble cigarettes as recognised in the US or Europe, or those that are not machine manufactured. The exclusion of these products is intended to give a more accurate picture of the "true" market for cigarettes and cigars which has been distorted in official statistics and published reports because of the inclusion of hybrid products. NB Please note that due to its central importance and integration into the industry mainstream, Indonesia’s market data does include hand-rolled kreteks DUTY-FREE sales are excluded from retail sales, as are herbal cigarettes. ILLICIT TRADE CIGARETTES Not included in retail sales, but split out separately in volume terms only. Defined as non-duty paid cigarettes (includes smuggled & counterfeit/fake products combined). Legitimate cross-border sales are considered duty-paid. Sales arising from a foreign national purchasing cheaper cigarettes in bulk in a neighbouring country for personal use and exported back are attributed to the country where the purchase is made (e.g. bulk cigarette sales by British nationals in France are attributed to France).
See All of Our DefinitionsThis report originates from Passport, our Cigarettes research and analysis database.
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