Cigarettes in New Zealand

September 2026
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Overview:

Understand the latest market trends and future growth opportunities for the Cigarettes industry in New Zealand with research from Euromonitor International's team of in-country analysts – experts by industry and geographic specialisation.

Key trends are clearly and succinctly summarised alongside the most current research data available. Understand and assess competitive threats and plan corporate strategy with our qualitative analysis, insight and confident growth projections.

If you're in the Cigarettes industry in New Zealand, our research will help you to make informed, intelligent decisions; to recognise and profit from opportunity, or to offer resilience amidst market uncertainty.

The Cigarettes in New Zealand report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volume and value sizes, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent research methodology, conducted in-country

This report answers:

  • What is the market size of Cigarettes in New Zealand?
  • Which are the leading brands in Cigarettes in New Zealand?
  • How are products distributed in Cigarettes in New Zealand?
  • Which category is the most heavily taxed in New Zealand?
  • How is the operating environment for Cigarettes changing?
  • What are the current legislative restrictions applicable to the sale of Cigarettes products in New Zealand?
  • Where is future growth expected to be most dynamic?

Cigarettes in New Zealand - Category analysis

Key Data Insights

Cigarettes Summary
Cigarette Volumes Decline as Excise Increases and Shrinking Smoking Prevalence Intensify Pressure on the Legal Market
Declining Smoking Prevalence Continues to Shrink the Legal Cigarette Consumer Base
Fiscal Containment Accelerates Downtrading and Increases Pressure From Illicit Tobacco
Chart 1 Volume Sales 2020-2030
Fiscal Containment Is Projected to Sustain Cigarette Volume Decline Despite Resilient Value Growth
The Illicit Tobacco Market Is Projected to Remain the Greatest Threat to Legal Cigarette Revenue
Dual-Use Nicotine Habits Are Projected to Redefine the Remaining Cigarette Consumer Base
Chart 2 Forecast Volume Sales 2020-2030
British American Tobacco Retains Leadership as Value-Tier Brands Gain Importance
Distribution Scale and Value Positioning Remain Critical Competitive Advantages
Chart 3 Company Shares 2025
Chart 4 Brand Shares 2025
Convenience Retailers Remain Central as Illicit Trade Captures a Growing Share of Consumption
E-Commerce Remains a Minor Sales Channel under Regulatory Restrictions
Chart 5 Retail Channels 2020-2025
Taxation Rates
Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown
Chart 6 Economic Context for Cigarettes
Chart 7 Real Gdp Growth 2020-2030
Chart 8 Inflation 2020-2030
Chart 9 Consumer Context for Cigarettes
Chart 10 Population 2020-2030
Chart 11 Consumer Expenditure 2020-2030
Chart 12 Population by Generation 2025

Nicotine in New Zealand - Industry Overview

2025 Developments

Key Data Insights

Modest Nicotine Growth Masks Regulatory-Driven Format Migration and Rising Illicit Trade
Vaping Restrictions and Compliance Requirements Redefine Competition
Cross-Format Consumption Becomes Embedded in Everyday Nicotine Use
Chart 13 Volume Sales 2020-2030
Chart 14 Volume Sales by Category 2025
Specialist Retail Is Expected to Strengthen as Nicotine Volume Stabilises
Heated Tobacco’S Tax Advantage Is Expected to Accelerate Format Migration
Nicotine Pouch Delays Are Expected to Create a Compliance-Led Growth Opportunity
Chart 15 Forecast Volume Sales 2020-2030
Chart 16 Forecast Volume Sales by Category 2025-2030
Regulatory Disruption Reshapes Competition as Established Players Defend Their Positions
Portfolio Diversification and Compliance Agility Strengthen Competitive Advantage
Chart 17 Company Shares 2025
Chart 18 Brand Shares 2025
Specialist Vape Retailers Adapt to Visibility Restrictions through Swas Models
E-Commerce Evolves into a Utility Channel for Established Vapers
Legislation
Legislative Overview
Chart 19 Legislation Summary at a Glance
Minimum Legal Smoking Age
Smoking Prevalence
Tar Levels
Health Warnings
Plain Packaging
Advertising and Sponsorship
Point-Of-Sale Display Bans
Smoking in Public Places
Low Ignition Propensity (Lip) Cigarette Regulation
Flavoured Tobacco Product Ban
Vapour Products

Production/Imports/Exports

Chart 20 Economic Context for Nicotine
Chart 21 Real Gdp Growth 2020-2030
Chart 22 Inflation 2020-2030
Chart 23 Consumer Context for Nicotine
Chart 24 Population 2020-2030
Chart 25 Consumer Expenditure 2020-2030
Chart 26 Population by Generation 2025

Country Reports Disclaimer

The following categories and subcategories are included:

Cigarettes

    • Fine Cut Cigarettes

Cigarettes

RETAIL SALES OF DUTY PAID CIGARETTES The definition of cigarettes for the purposes of this study is duty-paid, machine manufactured white-stick products. This does not exclude brands of cigarettes that do not use white paper but it is designed to exclude the volume of non-machine manufactured products such as bidis/beedis (India) and papirosy (Russia), and other smoking products made with tobacco but that either do not resemble cigarettes as recognised in the US or Europe, or those that are not machine manufactured. The exclusion of these products is intended to give a more accurate picture of the "true" market for cigarettes and cigars which has been distorted in official statistics and published reports because of the inclusion of hybrid products. NB Please note that due to its central importance and integration into the industry mainstream, Indonesia’s market data does include hand-rolled kreteks DUTY-FREE sales are excluded from retail sales, as are herbal cigarettes. ILLICIT TRADE CIGARETTES Not included in retail sales, but split out separately in volume terms only. Defined as non-duty paid cigarettes (includes smuggled & counterfeit/fake products combined). Legitimate cross-border sales are considered duty-paid. Sales arising from a foreign national purchasing cheaper cigarettes in bulk in a neighbouring country for personal use and exported back are attributed to the country where the purchase is made (e.g. bulk cigarette sales by British nationals in France are attributed to France).

See all of our definitions
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This report originates from Passport, our Cigarettes research and analysis database.

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