Alcoholic Drinks in Bulgaria

Alcoholic Drinks in Bulgaria

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

COVID-19 impact on alcoholic drinks

COVID-19 country impact

Company response

Retailing shift

On-trade vs off-trade split

What next for alcoholic drinks?

Chart 1 Alcoholic Drinks Off-Trade Volume Sales Growth Scenarios: 2018-2025
Chart 2 Alcoholic Drinks On-Trade Volume Sales Growth Scenarios: 2018-2025
Chart 3 Alcoholic Drinks Impact of Soft Drivers on Off-Trade Volume Sales: 2018-2025
Chart 4 Alcoholic Drinks Impact of Soft Drivers on On-Trade Volume Sales: 2018-2025

MARKET BACKGROUND

Legislation

Legal purchasing age and legal drinking age
Drink driving
Advertising
Smoking ban
Opening hours
On-trade establishments
Table 1 Number of On-trade Establishments by Type 2015-2020

TAXATION AND DUTY LEVIES

Summary 1 Taxation and Duty Levies on Alcoholic Drinks 2020

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Contraband/parallel trade

Duty free

Cross-border/private imports

KEY NEW PRODUCT LAUNCHES

Outlook

MARKET INDICATORS

Table 2 Retail Consumer Expenditure on Alcoholic Drinks 2015-2020

MARKET DATA

Table 3 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2015-2020
Table 4 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Value 2015-2020
Table 5 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 6 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 7 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by Off-trade vs On-trade: Volume 2020
Table 8 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by Off-trade vs On-trade: Value 2020
Table 9 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by Off-trade vs On-trade: % Volume 2020
Table 10 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by Off-trade vs On-trade: % Value 2020
Table 11 GBO Company Shares of Alcoholic Drinks: % Total Volume 2016-2020
Table 12 Distribution of Alcoholic Drinks by Format: % Off-trade Value 2015-2020
Table 13 Distribution of Alcoholic Drinks by Format and by Category: % Off-trade Volume 2020
Table 14 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2020-2025
Table 15 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Value 2020-2025
Table 16 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 17 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Value Growth 2020-2025

DISCLAIMER

SOURCES

Summary 2 Research Sources

Beer in Bulgaria

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Social distancing, mandatory closure of horeca outlets and widespread financial pressures negatively affect demand for beer in 2020

Economic uncertainty brings premiumisation trend to a pause

Carlsberg Bulgaria AD, Kamenitza AD and Zagorka AD remain the leading players

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

Home consumption is likely to maintain an influence on the sales of beer in the initial stages of the forecast period

Craft beer culture grows as non-alcoholic beer remains niche despite new launches

Foreign-owned players can be expected to continue to lead beer while private label gains in value share due to expansion of discounters

CATEGORY BACKGROUND

Lager price band methodology

Summary 3 Lager by Price Band 2020
Table 18 Number of Breweries 2015-2020

CATEGORY DATA

Table 19 Sales of Beer by Category: Total Volume 2015-2020
Table 20 Sales of Beer by Category: Total Value 2015-2020
Table 21 Sales of Beer by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 22 Sales of Beer by Category: % Total Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 23 Sales of Beer by Off-trade vs On-trade: Volume 2015-2020
Table 24 Sales of Beer by Off-trade vs On-trade: Value 2015-2020
Table 25 Sales of Beer by Off-trade vs On-trade: % Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 26 Sales of Beer by Off-trade vs On-trade: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 27 Sales of Beer by Craft vs Standard 2015-2020
Table 28 GBO Company Shares of Beer: % Total Volume 2016-2020
Table 29 NBO Company Shares of Beer: % Total Volume 2016-2020
Table 30 LBN Brand Shares of Beer: % Total Volume 2017-2020
Table 31 Forecast Sales of Beer by Category: Total Volume 2020-2025
Table 32 Forecast Sales of Beer by Category: Total Value 2020-2025
Table 33 Forecast Sales of Beer by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 34 Forecast Sales of Beer by Category: % Total Value Growth 2020-2025

Wine in Bulgaria

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Reduced opportunities for socialising, mandated closure of horeca outlets and economic uncertainty negatively affect sales of wine in 2020

Fruit wine shows most resilience, due to the increasing interest, a product which has a long history of consumption in the country

Declines in inbound tourist arrivals hurts boutique local wineries most, while major producers of wine benefit from increase in demand through modern grocery retail

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

Strong tradition of consuming still white wine and still red wine expected to drive growth from 2021 onwards

Fruit wine and imported products at the forefront of emerging trends

Burgeoning export opportunities spur the development of Bulgaria’s wine industry

CATEGORY DATA

Table 35 Sales of Wine by Category: Total Volume 2015-2020
Table 36 Sales of Wine by Category: Total Value 2015-2020
Table 37 Sales of Wine by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 38 Sales of Wine by Category: % Total Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 39 Sales of Wine by Off-trade vs On-trade: Volume 2015-2020
Table 40 Sales of Wine by Off-trade vs On-trade: Value 2015-2020
Table 41 Sales of Wine by Off-trade vs On-trade: % Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 42 Sales of Wine by Off-trade vs On-trade: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 43 Sales of Still Red Wine by Price Segment: % Off-trade Volume 2015-2020
Table 44 Sales of Still Rosé Wine by Price Segment: % Off-trade Volume 2015-2020
Table 45 Sales of Still White Wine by Price Segment: % Off-trade Volume 2015-2020
Table 46 Sales of Other Sparkling Wine by Price Segment: % Off-trade Volume 2015-2020
Table 47 GBO Company Shares of Still Light Grape Wine: % Total Volume 2016-2020
Table 48 NBO Company Shares of Still Light Grape Wine: % Total Volume 2016-2020
Table 49 LBN Brand Shares of Still Light Grape Wine: % Total Volume 2017-2020
Table 50 GBO Company Shares of Champagne: % Total Volume 2016-2020
Table 51 NBO Company Shares of Champagne: % Total Volume 2016-2020
Table 52 LBN Brand Shares of Champagne: % Total Volume 2017-2020
Table 53 GBO Company Shares of Other Sparkling Wine: % Total Volume 2016-2020
Table 54 NBO Company Shares of Other Sparkling Wine: % Total Volume 2016-2020
Table 55 LBN Brand Shares of Other Sparkling Wine: % Total Volume 2017-2020
Table 56 GBO Company Shares of Fortified Wine and Vermouth: % Total Volume 2016-2020
Table 57 NBO Company Shares of Fortified Wine and Vermouth: % Total Volume 2016-2020
Table 58 LBN Brand Shares of Fortified Wine and Vermouth: % Total Volume 2017-2020
Table 59 GBO Company Shares of Non-grape Wine: % Total Volume 2016-2020
Table 60 NBO Company Shares of Non-grape Wine: % Total Volume 2016-2020
Table 61 LBN Brand Shares of Non-grape Wine: % Total Volume 2017-2020
Table 62 Forecast Sales of Wine by Category: Total Volume 2020-2025
Table 63 Forecast Sales of Wine by Category: Total Value 2020-2025
Table 64 Forecast Sales of Wine by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 65 Forecast Sales of Wine by Category: % Total Value Growth 2020-2025

Spirits in Bulgaria

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Social distancing, economic uncertainty and the mandated closure of on-trade establishments negatively affect spirits sales in 2020

Vodka and rakija weather the storm best, owing to the strong tradition of consumption in Bulgaria, while tequila, liqueurs, brandy and cognac are worst affected by COVID-19

Players increasingly advertise online and on social media in an attempt to draw prospective customers

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

Sales of spirits expected to return to positive over the forecast period as socialising outside of the home resumes

Value for money remains a lucrative positioning for players

Gin, brandy and whisky brands capitalise on the growing cocktail culture

CATEGORY BACKGROUND

Vodka, gin, other blended Scotch whisky, dark rum and white rum price band methodology

Summary 4 Benchmark Brands 2020

CATEGORY DATA

Table 66 Sales of Spirits by Category: Total Volume 2015-2020
Table 67 Sales of Spirits by Category: Total Value 2015-2020
Table 68 Sales of Spirits by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 69 Sales of Spirits by Category: % Total Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 70 Sales of Spirits by Off-trade vs On-trade: Volume 2015-2020
Table 71 Sales of Spirits by Off-trade vs On-trade: Value 2015-2020
Table 72 Sales of Spirits by Off-trade vs On-trade: % Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 73 Sales of Spirits by Off-trade vs On-trade: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 74 Sales of Dark Rum by Price Platform: % Total Volume 2015-2020
Table 75 Sales of White Rum by Price Platform: % Total Volume 2015-2020
Table 76 Sales of Other Blended Scotch Whisky by Price Platform: % Total Volume 2015-2020
Table 77 Sales of English Gin by Price Platform: % Total Volume 2015-2020
Table 78 Sales of Vodka by Price Platform: % Total Volume 2015-2020
Table 79 Sales of Vodka by Flavoured vs Non-flavoured: % Total Volume 2015-2020
Table 80 GBO Company Shares of Spirits: % Total Volume 2016-2020
Table 81 NBO Company Shares of Spirits: % Total Volume 2016-2020
Table 82 LBN Brand Shares of Spirits: % Total Volume 2017-2020
Table 83 Forecast Sales of Spirits by Category: Total Volume 2020-2025
Table 84 Forecast Sales of Spirits by Category: Total Value 2020-2025
Table 85 Forecast Sales of Spirits by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 86 Forecast Sales of Spirits by Category: % Total Value Growth 2020-2025

Cider/Perry in Bulgaria

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Absence of foreign tourists and social distancing measures had a negative impact on cider/perry consumption in 2020

Cider continues to develop in Bulgaria

Scandinavian and British brands battle it out for supremacy in cider/perry

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

Spreading awareness of cider/perry as a refreshing alternative to beer will continue to support rising demand in the forecast period

Zagorka AD continues to challenge the leaders in the product area

Seasonality remains a hindrance for the development of cider/perry, with leaders in the product area likely to encourage consumption throughout the year

CATEGORY DATA

Table 87 Sales of Cider/Perry: Total Volume 2015-2020
Table 88 Sales of Cider/Perry: Total Value 2015-2020
Table 89 Sales of Cider/Perry: % Total Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 90 Sales of Cider/Perry: % Total Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 91 Sales of Cider/Perry by Off-trade vs On-trade: Volume 2015-2020
Table 92 Sales of Cider/Perry by Off-trade vs On-trade: Value 2015-2020
Table 93 Sales of Cider/Perry by Off-trade vs On-trade: % Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 94 Sales of Cider/Perry by Off-trade vs On-trade: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 95 GBO Company Shares of Cider/Perry: % Total Volume 2016-2020
Table 96 NBO Company Shares of Cider/Perry: % Total Volume 2016-2020
Table 97 LBN Brand Shares of Cider/Perry: % Total Volume 2017-2020
Table 98 Forecast Sales of Cider/Perry: Total Volume 2020-2025
Table 99 Forecast Sales of Cider/Perry: Total Value 2020-2025
Table 100 Forecast Sales of Cider/Perry: % Total Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 101 Forecast Sales of Cider/Perry: % Total Value Growth 2020-2025

Rtds in Bulgaria

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

RTDS maintains a niche status in Bulgaria and struggles to cope with the fall in demand for alcoholic drinks in general

The closure of on-trade establishments and a rainy summer unfavourably affect demand for RTDs

Spirit-based RTDS dominate as Smirnoff and Bacardi account for most sales

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

The on-trade set to continue dominating sales of RTDs, as Bulgarians prefer beer and wine at home

RTDs struggle to find an audience despite appealing to younger consumers

Wine-based RTDs emerges strongly from a low base

CATEGORY DATA

Table 102 Sales of RTDs by Category: Total Volume 2015-2020
Table 103 Sales of RTDs by Category: Total Value 2015-2020
Table 104 Sales of RTDs by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 105 Sales of RTDs by Category: % Total Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 106 Sales of RTDs by Off-trade vs On-trade: Volume 2015-2020
Table 107 Sales of RTDs by Off-trade vs On-trade: Value 2015-2020
Table 108 Sales of RTDs by Off-trade vs On-trade: % Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 109 Sales of RTDs by Off-trade vs On-trade: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 110 GBO Company Shares of RTDs: % Total Volume 2016-2020
Table 111 NBO Company Shares of RTDs: % Total Volume 2016-2020
Table 112 LBN Brand Shares of RTDs: % Total Volume 2017-2020
Table 113 Forecast Sales of RTDs by Category: Total Volume 2020-2025
Table 114 Forecast Sales of RTDs by Category: Total Value 2020-2025
Table 115 Forecast Sales of RTDs by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 116 Forecast Sales of RTDs by Category: % Total Value Growth 2020-2025

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