Soft Drinks in Turkey

Soft Drinks in Turkey

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

COVID-19 impact on soft drinks

COVID-19 country impact

Company response

Retailing shift

Foodservice vs retail split

What next for soft drinks?

Chart 1 Soft Drinks Off-Trade Volume Sales Growth Scenarios: 2018-2025
Chart 2 Soft Drinks On-Trade Volume Sales Growth Scenarios: 2018-2025
Chart 3 Soft Drinks Impact of Drivers on Off-Trade Volume Sales: 2017-2025
Chart 4 Soft Drinks Impact of Drivers on On-Trade Volume Sales: 2017-2025

MARKET DATA

Table 1 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Channel: Volume 2015-2020
Table 2 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Channel: % Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 3 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: Value 2015-2020
Table 4 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 5 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: Volume 2019
Table 6 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: % Volume 2019
Table 7 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: Value 2019
Table 8 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: % Value 2019
Table 9 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Category: Volume 2015-2020
Table 10 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 11 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: Value 2015-2020
Table 12 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 13 Sales of Soft Drinks by Total Fountain On-trade: Volume 2015-2020
Table 14 Sales of Soft Drinks by Total Fountain On-trade: % Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 15 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks (RTD): % Volume 2016-2020
Table 16 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks (RTD): % Volume 2017-2020
Table 17 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks: % Value 2016-2020
Table 18 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks: % Value 2017-2020
Table 19 Penetration of Private Label in Off-trade Soft Drinks (RTD) by Category: % Volume 2015-2020
Table 20 Penetration of Private Label in Off-trade Soft Drinks by Category: % Value 2015-2020
Table 21 Distribution of Off-trade Soft Drinks (as sold) by Format: % Volume 2015-2020
Table 22 Distribution of Off-trade Soft Drinks (as sold) by Format and Category: % Volume 2020
Table 23 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Channel: Volume 2020-2025
Table 24 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Channel: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 25 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: Value 2020-2025
Table 26 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: % Value Growth 2020-2025
Table 27 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Category: Volume 2020-2025
Table 28 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 29 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: Value 2020-2025
Table 30 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025
Table 31 Forecast Sales of Soft Drinks by Total Fountain On-trade: Volume 2020-2025
Table 32 Forecast Sales of Soft Drinks by Total Fountain On-trade: % Volume Growth 2020-2025

APPENDIX

Fountain sales in Turkey

Trends

GLOBAL MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT

GLOBAL INDUSTRY ENVIRONMENT

DISCLAIMER

SOURCES

Summary 1 Research Sources

Carbonates in Turkey

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Growth in the off-trade is not enough to counteract the double-digit loss seen in on-trade sales

Price-sensitivity leads to sales of multipacks, and consumers focus on favoured products

Coca-Cola Icecek and Pepsi-Cola Türkiye increase their share, as private label gains ground

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

The on-trade channel begins to recover from 2021, driving growth in total volume sales

Low calorie cola carbonates drive growth over the forecast period, as COVID-19 boosts the interest in health and wellness

Price-sensitivity and the expansion of discounters boosts growth for private label options

CATEGORY DATA

Table 33 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Carbonates: Volume 2015-2020
Table 34 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Carbonates: Value 2015-2020
Table 35 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Carbonates: % Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 36 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Carbonates: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 37 Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: Volume 2015-2020
Table 38 Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: Value 2015-2020
Table 39 Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 40 Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 41 Total Sales of Carbonates by Fountain On-trade: Volume 2015-2020
Table 42 Total Sales of Carbonates by Fountain On-trade: % Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 43 Leading Flavours for Non-cola Carbonates: % Volume 2015-2020
Table 44 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Carbonates: % Volume 2016-2020
Table 45 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Carbonates: % Volume 2017-2020
Table 46 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Carbonates: % Value 2016-2020
Table 47 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Carbonates: % Value 2017-2020
Table 48 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: Volume 2020-2025
Table 49 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: Value 2020-2025
Table 50 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 51 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025
Table 52 Forecast Total Sales of Carbonates by Fountain On-trade: Volume 2020-2025
Table 53 Forecast Total Sales of Carbonates by Fountain On-trade: % Volume Growth 2020-2025

Juice in Turkey

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Production and manufacturing remain uninterrupted, as volume sales increase

100% juice records positive results as consumers reach for healthier options during the outbreak of COVID-19

Coca-Cola Içecek retains its lead as private label gains further ground

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

The forecast period records positive total volume growth, boosted by the on-trade

Product developments focus on healthier and natural positionings, as players launch new flavours

The share of private label increases, as e-commerce gains ground

CATEGORY DATA

Table 54 Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: Volume 2015-2020
Table 55 Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: Value 2015-2020
Table 56 Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 57 Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 58 Leading Flavours for Off-trade 100% Juice: % Volume 2015-2020
Table 59 Leading Flavours for Off-trade Juice Drinks (up to 24% Juice): % Volume 2015-2020
Table 60 Leading Flavours for Off-trade Nectars (25-99% Juice): % Volume 2015-2020
Table 61 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Juice: % Volume 2016-2020
Table 62 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Juice: % Volume 2017-2020
Table 63 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Juice: % Value 2016-2020
Table 64 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Juice: % Value 2017-2020
Table 65 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: Volume 2020-2025
Table 66 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: Value 2020-2025
Table 67 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 68 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025

Bottled Water in Turkey

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Stockpiling leads to double-digit off-trade volume and value growth for bottled water

Discounters and e-commerce are set to increase their share, with price-sensitivity and social distancing boosting sales

Consumers favour Sirma due to its low price-point, and private label gains ground

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

The on-trade records double-digit volume growth across the forecast period

Flavoured bottled water drives off-trade growth, with sales boosted by the health and wellness trend

Private label gains share, as branded players promote their added-value to compete

CATEGORY DATA

Table 69 Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: Volume 2015-2020
Table 70 Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: Value 2015-2020
Table 71 Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 72 Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 73 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Bottled Water: % Volume 2016-2020
Table 74 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Bottled Water: % Volume 2017-2020
Table 75 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Bottled Water: % Value 2016-2020
Table 76 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Bottled Water: % Value 2017-2020
Table 77 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: Volume 2020-2025
Table 78 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: Value 2020-2025
Table 79 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 80 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025

Sports Drinks in Turkey

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Decline for both on-trade and off-trade volume growth, with COVID-19 increasing home seclusion and reducing exercise

Price-sensitivity leads consumers to replace sports drinks with more affordable soft drink options

Powerade by Coca-Cola Içecek records a decline, as the sponsorships of events is put on hold, due to COVID-19

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

On-trade and off-trade growth recover from 2021, as consumers return to gyms and reinstall their exercise routines

Promotional campaigns and sponsorship activities boost awareness and growth over the forecast period

The growing health and wellness trend boosts growth in sports drinks and shapes product developments

CATEGORY DATA

Table 81 Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: Volume 2015-2020
Table 82 Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: Value 2015-2020
Table 83 Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: % Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 84 Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 85 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Sports Drinks: % Volume 2016-2020
Table 86 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Sports Drinks: % Volume 2017-2020
Table 87 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Sports Drinks: % Value 2016-2020
Table 88 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Sports Drinks: % Value 2017-2020
Table 89 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: Volume 2020-2025
Table 90 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: Value 2020-2025
Table 91 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 92 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: % Value Growth 2020-2025

Energy Drinks in Turkey

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Volume sales decline, as the closures and restrictions in bars and cafés dampen sales of energy drinks

Volume sales decline as on-the-go consumption decreases, however, high prices boost value growth

Players adapt to the outbreak of COVID-19 by installing e-commerce strategies

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

Recovery is boosted from 2022, with energy drinks recording double-digit on-trade volume growth

Promotions at outdoor events and festivals boost awareness over the forecast period

Healthier positionings and innovative flavours drive growth over the forecast period

CATEGORY DATA

Table 93 Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: Volume 2015-2020
Table 94 Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: Value 2015-2020
Table 95 Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: % Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 96 Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 97 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Energy Drinks: % Volume 2016-2020
Table 98 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Energy Drinks: % Volume 2017-2020
Table 99 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Energy Drinks: % Value 2016-2020
Table 100 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Energy Drinks: % Value 2017-2020
Table 101 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: Volume 2020-2025
Table 102 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: Value 2020-2025
Table 103 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 104 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: % Value Growth 2020-2025

Concentrates in Turkey

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Traditionally served at breakfast buffets and brunch, concentrates decline as foodservice venues close

Off-trade sales suffer as consumers migrate to healthier options, such as juice

Cardak Konsantre Meyve Sulari leads, however, share is lost to private label players

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

On-trade recovers from 2020, however, the off-trade is challenged by the health and wellness trend

The expansion of discounters boosts share of private label over the forecast period

Players respond to consumer demand with larger packs sizes and healthier offerings

CATEGORY DATA

Concentrates Conversions

Summary 2 Concentrates Conversion Factors for Ready-to-Drink (RTD) Format
Table 105 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (RTD) by Category: Volume 2015-2020
Table 106 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (RTD) by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 107 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates by Category: Value 2015-2020
Table 108 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 109 Leading Flavours for Off-trade Liquid Concentrates: % Volume 2015-2020
Table 110 Leading Flavours for Off-trade Powder Concentrates: % Volume 2015-2020
Table 111 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Concentrates (RTD): % Volume 2016-2020
Table 112 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Concentrates (RTD): % Volume 2017-2020
Table 113 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Concentrates: % Value 2016-2020
Table 114 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Concentrates: % Value 2017-2020
Table 115 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Liquid Concentrates (RTD): % Volume 2016-2020
Table 116 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Liquid Concentrates (RTD): % Volume 2017-2020
Table 117 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Powder Concentrates (RTD): % Volume 2016-2020
Table 118 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Powder Concentrates (RTD): % Volume 2017-2020
Table 119 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (RTD) by Category: Volume 2020-2025
Table 120 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (RTD) by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 121 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates by Category: Value 2020-2025
Table 122 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025

RTD Tea in Turkey

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Off-trade sales rise as the outbreak of COVID-19 increases at-home consumption

The increasing interest in the health and wellness trend, boosted by the outbreak of COVID-19, supports sales

Danone Tikvesli Gida and Dogadan Gida Urunleri boost share, while private label offerings gain ground

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

The recovery of foodservice leads to double-digit growth for on-trade volume sales

The health and wellness trend, boosted by the outbreak of COVID-19, shapes new product development

Discounters and e-commerce are set to increase their share over the coming years

CATEGORY DATA

Table 123 Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: Volume 2015-2020
Table 124 Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: Value 2015-2020
Table 125 Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 126 Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 127 Leading Flavours for Off-trade RTD Tea: % Volume 2015-2020
Table 128 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade RTD Tea: % Volume 2016-2020
Table 129 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade RTD Tea: % Volume 2017-2020
Table 130 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade RTD Tea: % Value 2016-2020
Table 131 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade RTD Tea: % Value 2017-2020
Table 132 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: Volume 2020-2025
Table 133 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: Value 2020-2025
Table 134 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 135 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025

RTD Coffee in Turkey

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Off-trade volume growth remains positive, with value growth boosted by rising price-points

The closure of specialist coffee shops leads to positive retail sales of RTD coffee

Nescafé Xpress retains its firm lead, as newer player Jacobs drives growth through e-commerce sales

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

RTD coffee records double-digit value and volume growth, boosted by sales to younger consumers

RTD coffee increases its presence online, boosting growth in e-commerce

Private label increases its share, boosted by new product developments

CATEGORY DATA

Table 136 Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: Volume 2015-2020
Table 137 Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: Value 2015-2020
Table 138 Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: % Volume Growth 2015-2020
Table 139 Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 140 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade RTD Coffee: % Volume 2016-2020
Table 141 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade RTD Coffee: % Volume 2017-2020
Table 142 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade RTD Coffee: % Value 2016-2020
Table 143 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade RTD Coffee: % Value 2017-2020
Table 144 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: Volume 2020-2025
Table 145 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: Value 2020-2025
Table 146 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
Table 147 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: % Value Growth 2020-2025

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