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Country Report

Soft Drinks in Nigeria

Apr 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Bottled water volume growth rises while other categories also perform well

In 2011, the inability to access safe drinking water and erratic electricity supply in Nigeria’s hot climate continued to drive the strong performance of bottled water, which is yet to reach maturity. Meanwhile, as the economy bounced back and the government continued with favourable policies towards domestic producers, other soft drinks categories also performed well in both volume and value terms. Increased health-consciousness among Nigerians, who are becoming more concerned about their sugar intake, led to a rising consumer preference for fruit/vegetable juice, although carbonates also performed well in 2011 despite losing out to rival products.

2011 sees growing trend for PET bottles and smaller packaging

Due to competition in the fast growing soft drinks market, producers substantially increased their spending on advertising and promotional activities to attract consumers. In addition, there is a growing trend among producers to package their products in smaller packs (mostly Tetra Paks) to meet the demands of children and young adults as well as price-sensitive consumers. The PET bottle, which is a relatively new format in Nigerian soft drinks (other than in bottled water), is slowly becoming the packaging format of choice in carbonates, in which glass bottles were previously the only format present. The success of La Casera, which is exclusively sold in such bottles, is driving the trend among other producers, with Lucozade Boost in sports and energy drinks also offered in this format, having previously been dominated by can and Tetra Pak packaging.

Coca-Cola dominates but local companies putting up a strong challenge

Innovation in the soft drinks market has been led by local companies which are appearing to teach established names, such as Coca-Cola, how to adapt to local conditions. Chi Nigeria Ltd, which surprisingly leads Coca-Cola Nigeria Ltd in fruit/vegetable juice, is one such leader in terms of innovation, but other companies such as Classic Beverages Nigeria Ltd and Cway Food & Beverages Co Nig Ltd are also posing a challenge. Classic Beverages Nigeria Ltd’s La Casera brand has rapidly established a name for itself in carbonates via solely using PET bottle packaging as well as introducing a brand new apple flavour which has proved quite popular. Nevertheless, Coca-Cola Nigeria Ltd maintained its leading share in two categories - carbonates and bottled water – in 2011 thanks to its well-established name in Nigeria, strong distribution network and massive marketing expenditure.

Off-trade outlets dominate volume sales

Independent small grocers and other grocery retailers (in particular traditional open markets and the traffic channel) continued to dominate volume sales in Nigeria in 2011. Many consumers buy these drinks for consumption either at home or while on the go. They are also commonly purchased to serve to guests at parties and other events. The supermarket/hypermarket channel is increasing its presence, with strong competition between Shoprite and Spar, which have both been opening new outlets. Such outlets are aiding the growth of soft drinks as they are able to establish bulk buying arrangements with manufacturers and thus sell drinks at discounted prices. In addition, the recent boom in the fast food industry has resulted in dynamic growth of on-trade volume sales, although these remain just a fraction of off-trade sales.

Soft drinks to continue to enjoy positive growth over the forecast period

It is expected that over the forecast period total volume sales will grow but at a slower rate compared to the review period. As the economy gets stronger, population growth increases and disposable income improves, all soft drinks categories are expected to register positive growth over the forecast period. However, because of saturation and growing consumer consciousness of the dangers of excessive sugar intake, growth rates will be slower. Again, because of growing demand, major competition between brands will continue to be seen in bottled water where there is already a vast range of brands present, making further differentiation difficult to achieve. As health becomes a growing concern among consumers, the best opportunities in soft drinks will be for innovative products that are able to combine new types of fruit flavours with a perception that they are healthier.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Soft Drinks industry in Nigeria with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Soft Drinks industry in Nigeria, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Nigeria for free:

The Soft Drinks in Nigeria market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Soft Drinks in Nigeria?
  • What are the major brands in Nigeria?
  • What potential exists for multinational vs. local soft drinks companies looking to increase market share?
  • How have changing social attitudes affected soft drink sales?
  • How have sustainability issues; such as environmentally-friendly packaging, legislation on recyclability, or the amount of plastic in bottles, affected the soft drink industry?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Soft Drinks market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Soft Drinks in Nigeria - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Bottled water volume growth rises while other categories also perform well

2011 sees growing trend for PET bottles and smaller packaging

Coca-Cola dominates but local companies putting up a strong challenge

Off-trade outlets dominate volume sales

Soft drinks to continue to enjoy positive growth over the forecast period

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Channel: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Channel: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: Volume 2010
  • Table 6 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: % Volume 2010
  • Table 7 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: Value 2010
  • Table 8 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: % Value 2010
  • Table 9 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 12 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 13 Company Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks (as sold) by Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 14 Brand Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks (as sold) by Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 15 Company Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks (RTD) by Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 16 Brand Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks (RTD) by Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 17 Company Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks by Value 2007-2011
  • Table 18 Brand Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks by Value 2008-2011
  • Table 19 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2011
  • Table 20 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Channel: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 21 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Channel: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 22 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 23 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 24 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 25 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 26 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 27 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

APPENDIX

Fountain Sales in Nigeria

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Soft Drinks in Nigeria - Company Profiles

Chi Nigeria Ltd in Soft Drinks (Nigeria)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 3 Chi Nigeria Ltd: Competitive Position 2011

Cway Food & Beverages Co Nig Ltd in Soft Drinks (Nigeria)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 5 Cway Food & Beverages Co Nig Ltd: Competitive Position 2011

Dansa Foods Ltd in Soft Drinks (Nigeria)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Dansa Foods Ltd: Competitive Position 2011

Bottled Water in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • On the strength of inaccessible safe drinking water and hot weather, bottled water continued to thrive in Nigeria in 2011. A strong percentage of households in Nigeria, both in urban and rural areas, do not have access to safe drinking water. In places where there is a public water system, distribution channels are not trusted to deliver safe drinking water and in the case of privately-owned boreholes, the purification system is generally poor. In addition, the hot weather and erratic electricity supply have greatly contributed to the growth of bottled water as consumers buy chilled water from on-trade points. Furthermore, the increase in formal employment and growing incomes continue to drive demand, particularly in the traffic channel.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Coca-Cola Nigeria Ltd led bottled water in 2011 with an off-trade volume share of 14% thanks to its Eva brand. (Note that if only strictly bottled water is considered, and pouch/sachet water excluded, Eva’s share would be above 50% in volume). Riding on the quality, reputation, distribution and marketing strength of its Coca-Cola brand range, the company has been able to position Eva water as a national brand of choice. Its leadership of the category is anchored on the combination of these factors and there is only a slim possibility of it being displaced by a rival. The brand’s distribution is built on the back of Coca-Cola’s, so wherever there is Coca-Cola (which has a share of 58% in carbonates) there is also Eva. The company has successfully positioned Eva as the brand of choice in the minds of consumers and the general perception is that it must be good if it is from Coca-Cola.

PROSPECTS

  • Bottled water is expected to register a total volume CAGR of 7% over the forecast period. This will be in line with the review period performance as bottled water has reached a certain level of saturation, and despite a growing population it is anticipated that the government will probably partially improve the provision of safe drinking water in some areas of the country as well as improve the electricity situation. Owners of privately-owned boreholes will have access to cheaper and easy to use water treatments, thereby reducing their consumption of bottled water.

CATEGORY DATA

Institutional Bottled Water Sales

  • Table 28 Sales of Bottled Water to Institutional Channel 2006-2011
  • Table 29 Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 30 Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 31 Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 32 Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 33 Company Shares of Bottled Water by Off-trade Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 34 Brand Shares of Bottled Water by Off-trade Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 35 Company Shares of Bottled Water by Off-trade Value 2007-2011
  • Table 36 Brand Shares of Bottled Water by Off-trade Value 2008-2011
  • Table 37 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 38 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 39 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 40 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Carbonates in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Total volume growth in 2011 reached 7%, up from 5% the previous year thanks to increased marketing activities, an improved economy and the growing popularity of canned and PET packaging among on-the-go consumers and at outdoor parties. Producers of carbonates seem to have acknowledged the threat posed by other soft drinks such as “nutritious” flavoured milk drinks and fruit/vegetable juice because of growing consumer concern about the health implications of a high sugar intake. Hence, carbonate producers increased their marketing activities in 2011 in an effort to maintain sales.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Coca-Cola Nigeria Ltd led carbonates in 2011 with a 58% share of off-trade volume sales. Coca-Cola Nigeria Ltd’s dominance of the category is due largely to its spread of production plants and vast distribution network, which is crucial in a country where the road network remains challenging. The company also has a quite longstanding presence in the country, during which time it has built its distribution network, with an emphasis on good relations with retailers. It also benefits from aggressive advertising and brand-building activities. The ubiquitous presence of the brand on billboards, in the print media, on television and radio has made it a household name across the country.

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period carbonates is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5% in total volume terms. Growth is expected to be weaker than that of the review period, which saw a 7% CAGR. Slower GDP growth, increased saturation in the category and strong competition from other soft drinks such as fruit/vegetable juice and drinking milk products are all expected to lead to slower growth over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 41 Low-Calorie Carbonates by Category
  • Table 42 Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 43 Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 44 Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 45 Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 46 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of Carbonates: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 47 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of Carbonates: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 48 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of Carbonates: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 49 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of Carbonates: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Company Shares of Carbonates by Off-trade Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 51 Brand Shares of Carbonates by Off-trade Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 52 Company Shares of Carbonates by Off-trade Value 2007-2011
  • Table 53 Brand Shares of Carbonates by Off-trade Value 2008-2011
  • Table 54 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 55 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 56 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 57 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Concentrates in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Concentrates is a slow growing category in Nigeria compared to other soft drinks. As most people are poor and live on low incomes, concentrates offer them the opportunity to enjoy a soft drink which does not cost too much. Parents normally add these drinks to their children’s school lunchboxes. Concentrates are generally seen as cheaper alternative soft drinks for middle and lower-income families.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • GlaxoSmithKline Nigeria dominated concentrates in 2011 with a 57% share of off-trade RTD volume sales (the company holds a 92% volume share of liquid concentrates). The ban on imported liquid concentrates, the huge popularity of the company’s Ribena brand and its strong and effective distribution network are the factors that have enabled the company to maintain its leading position. In liquid concentrates, GlaxoSmithKline Nigeria faces little or no competition.

PROSPECTS

  • It is expected that concentrates will grow at a CAGR of 2% in total RTD volume terms over the forecast period. This will, however, be a slower performance than that of alternative soft drinks such as carbonates and fruit/vegetable juice. However, if any unforeseen economic circumstances were to push up the unit prices of such substitutes, concentrates would see stronger growth than forecast as poorer consumers would switch to concentrates.

CATEGORY DATA

Concentrates Conversions

  • Summary 8 Concentrates Conversion Factors for Ready-to-Drink (RTD) Format
  • Table 58 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (as sold) by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 59 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (RTD) by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 60 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 61 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (as sold) by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 62 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (RTD) by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 63 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 64 Company Shares of Concentrates (RTD) by Off-trade Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 65 Brand Shares of Concentrates (RTD) by Off-trade Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 66 Company Shares of Liquid Concentrates (as sold) by Off-trade Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 67 Brand Shares of Liquid Concentrates (as sold) by Off-trade Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 68 Company Shares of Powder Concentrates (as sold) by Off-trade Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 69 Brand Shares of Powder Concentrates (as sold) by Off-trade Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 70 Company Shares of Concentrates by Off-trade Value 2007-2011
  • Table 71 Brand Shares of Concentrates by Off-trade Value 2008-2011
  • Table 72 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (as sold) by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 73 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (RTD) by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 74 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 75 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (as sold) by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 76 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (RTD) by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 77 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Fruit/Vegetable Juice in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Increasing health-consciousness and intensive marketing activities from manufacturers boosted the growth of the category in 2011. Nigerians are traditionally heavy consumers of fruit and vegetables sold fresh and prevalent at roadsides. With a growing need for convenience among a larger working population, which is also more educated and therefore more health-conscious, fruit/vegetable juices in packaged formats have increased in popularity. Furthermore, given the growing incidence of hypertension and diabetes in the country, younger middle- and higher-income consumers are keen to stave off these diseases by consuming fruit/vegetable juice which they consider healthier than carbonates. Manufacturers are using the health benefits of fruit drinks as a strategy to drive growth.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • With a 44% off-trade volume share, Chi Nigeria Ltd led fruit/vegetable juice in Nigeria in 2011. The company cashed in on the ban placed on imported fruit/vegetable juice in Nigeria and further widened its customer base thanks to the temporary absence of Coca-Cola Nigeria’s 5 Alive brand in 2009 due to a fire at the company’s production plant. With an effective marketing and advertising strategy, a strong distribution network and a wide range of flavours, the company was able to maintain its leadership in 2011. Its advertising strategy continues to position the Chi brand (whose name in Igbo means ‘personal god’) as ‘proudly Nigerian’.

PROSPECTS

  • It is expected that fruit/vegetable juice will grow at a CAGR of 8% in total volume terms over the forecast period, which will be slower than the 10% volume CAGR of the review period. Growth over the review period actually peaked in 2011 at 13%. However, such strong growth cannot be maintained indefinitely, and having taken consumers away from carbonates and other soft drinks categories, fruit/vegetable juice is approaching saturation and thus will witness slower growth over the forecast period. In addition, increasing production costs, which producers cannot pass on wholesale to the consumer in the form of higher prices, will also contribute to slower growth.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 78 Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 79 Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 80 Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 81 Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 82 Company Shares of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Off-trade Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 83 Brand Shares of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Off-trade Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 84 Company Shares of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Off-trade Value 2007-2011
  • Table 85 Brand Shares of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Off-trade Value 2008-2011
  • Table 86 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 87 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 88 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 89 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

RTD Coffee in Nigeria - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • In 2011, the presence of RTD coffee in Nigeria remained negligible. Consumers generally have little awareness of the category, hence the lack of investment in this area.

RTD Tea in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • RTD tea is very new in Nigeria, first appearing in the market in 2008 thanks to Cway Food & Beverages Co Nig Ltd’s Cway Ice Tea brand. The category continued to enjoy strong volume growth in 2011. This growth can be attributed to the marketing strategies of manufacturers which have positioned their products as a healthier alternative to carbonates and fruit/vegetable juice. Nevertheless, having gained a foothold in the market, the category’s growth is now understandably less dramatic than when it was first launched.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Chi Nigeria Ltd led RTD tea in 2011 with a 75% off-trade volume share. The company’s RTD tea brand, Chi Ice Tea, is riding on the back of the success of other Chi Nigeria brands in the market and their strong distribution. Consumers appear to trust the quality of Chi Nigeria’s brands.

PROSPECTS

  • With its gradual stabilisation in the market and competing rival products, RTD tea will witness slower growth over the forecast period, registering a total volume CAGR of 14%. There is a possibility that companies not currently present in the category will enter it over the forecast period in a bid to retain consumers by offering a wider product range. This will lead to an increased number of flavours and brands over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 90 Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 91 Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: Value 2007-2011
  • Table 92 Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2008-2011
  • Table 93 Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2008-2011
  • Table 94 Company Shares of RTD Tea by Off-trade Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 95 Brand Shares of RTD Tea by Off-trade Volume 2008-2011
  • Table 96 Company Shares of RTD Tea by Off-trade Value 2007-2011
  • Table 97 Brand Shares of RTD Tea by Off-trade Value 2008-2011
  • Table 98 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 99 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 100 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 101 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Sports and Energy Drinks in Nigeria - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The booming night-life culture and the mixing of sports and energy drinks with alcoholic beverages such as spirits continued to boost sales in 2011. The perception among many young adult consumers is that sports and energy drinks have an aphrodisiac effect and help to boost energy levels. Most consumers add these drinks to alcoholic beverages such as spirits, wine and in some cases beer to dilute the alcoholic content. Furthermore, increased health-consciousness and exercising in gyms, particularly among working professionals, was behind the 80% growth registered in sports drinks, thus helping to drive the overall category in 2011. However, total volume growth of 12% in 2011 was weaker than the review period CAGR of 13% due to increasing saturation in energy drinks.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • With a 59% share of off-trade volume sales, GlaxoSmithKline Nigeria dominated the category in 2011. The company’s Lucozade brand has been present in Nigeria for many years and hence enjoys strong brand loyalty. Many consumers perceive it as a health supplement and it is also widely available thanks to an effective distribution network across the country. The convenience which the packaging offers (it is packaged in Tetra Paks compared to other brands which are packaged in cans), coupled with its comparatively cheaper price and smaller packs, has given it an edge over rival brands. Lastly, it is thought to be healthier than newer brands of energy drinks as it is believed to contain fewer stimulants.

PROSPECTS

  • Sports and energy drinks is set to see a slower growth rate over the forecast period, registering a total volume CAGR of 7% compared to a 13% CAGR over the review period. Health-consciousness and health management are increasingly concerning Nigerian consumers and as these products contain sugar and caffeine, consumers will naturally reduce their consumption. The category is also fairly saturated following the launch of a glut of new brands over the review period, while there is also competition from pre-mixed (or RTD) alcoholic drinks.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 102 Off-trade Sales of Sports and Energy Drinks by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 103 Off-trade Sales of Sports and Energy Drinks by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 104 Off-trade Sales of Sports and Energy Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 105 Off-trade Sales of Sports and Energy Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 106 Company Shares of Sports and Energy Drinks by Off-trade Volume 2007-2011
  • Table 107 Brand Shares of Sports and Energy Drinks by Off-trade Volume 2007-2009
  • Table 108 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Sports and Energy Drinks by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 109 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Sports and Energy Drinks by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 110 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Sports and Energy Drinks by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 111 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Sports and Energy Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Soft Drinks
    • Bottled Water
      • Carbonated Bottled Water
      • Flavoured Bottled Water
      • Functional Bottled Water
      • Still Bottled Water
    • Carbonates
      • Cola Carbonates
        • Regular Cola Carbonates
          • Standard Regular Cola
          • Speciality Regular Cola
        • Low Calorie Cola Carbonates
          • Standard Low Calorie Cola
          • Speciality Low Calorie Cola
      • Non-Cola Carbonates
        • Lemonade/Lime
          • Juice-based Lemonade/Lime
          • Non Juice-based Lemonade/Lime
        • Mixers
          • Ginger Ale
          • Seltzer
          • Tonic Water
          • Other Mixers
        • Orange Carbonates
          • Juice-based Orange Carbonates
          • Non Juice-based Orange Carbonates
        • Other Non-Cola Carbonates
    • Concentrates
      • Liquid Concentrates
      • Powder Concentrates
    • Fruit/Vegetable Juice
      • 100% Juice
        • Frozen 100% Juice
        • Not from Concentrate 100% Juice
        • Reconstituted 100% Juice
      • Juice Drinks (up to 24% Juice)
        • Frozen Juice Drinks
        • Juice Drinks Excluding Asian
      • Fruit-Flavoured Drinks (No Juice Content)
      • Nectars (25-99% Juice)
        • Frozen Nectars
        • Unfrozen Nectars
    • RTD Coffee
    • RTD Tea
      • Still RTD Tea
        • Still RTD Tea Excluding Asian
      • Carbonated RTD Tea
    • Sports and Energy Drinks
      • Energy Drinks
      • Sports Drinks
    • Asian Speciality Drinks

    Statistics Included

    Statistics Included

    For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

    From Passport

    • Market sizes
    • Company shares
    • Brand shares
    • Distribution
    • Off-trade vs on-trade
    • Pricing
    • Products by ingredient
    • Products by ingredient

    Market size details:

    • Retail volume
    • Retail volume % growth
    • Retail volume per capita
    • Foodservice volume
    • Foodservice volume % growth
    • Foodservice volume per capita
    • Total volume
    • Total volume % growth
    • Total volume per capita
    • Retail value retail selling price % growth
    • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Foodservice value retail selling price % growth
    • Foodservice value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Foodservice value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Total value retail selling price % growth
    • Total value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Total value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
    • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Foodservice value manufacturer selling price % growth
    • Foodservice value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Foodservice value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Total value manufacturer selling price % growth
    • Total value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Total value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail value retail selling price excl powder % growth
    • Retail value retail selling price excl powder local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail value retail selling price excl powder per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Foodservice value retail selling price excl powder % growth
    • Foodservice value retail selling price excl powder local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Foodservice value retail selling price excl powder per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Total value retail selling price excl powder % growth
    • Total value retail selling price excl powder local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Total value retail selling price excl powder per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail value manufacturer selling price excl powder % growth
    • Retail value manufacturer selling price excl powder local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail value manufacturer selling price excl powder per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Foodservice value manufacturer selling price excl powder % growth
    • Foodservice value manufacturer selling price excl powder local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Foodservice value manufacturer selling price excl powder per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Total value manufacturer selling price excl powder % growth
    • Total value manufacturer selling price excl powder local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Total value manufacturer selling price excl powder per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
    • Retail rtd volume
    • Retail rtd volume % growth
    • Retail rtd volume per capita
    • Foodservice rtd volume
    • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
    • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
    • Total rtd volume
    • Total rtd volume % growth
    • Total rtd volume per capita
    • Fountain on-trade volume through c-store
    • Fountain on-trade volume through c-store % growth
    • Fountain on-trade volume through c-store per capita
    • Fountain on-trade volume through foodservice
    • Fountain on-trade volume through foodservice % growth
    • Fountain on-trade volume through foodservice per capita
    • Total fountain on-trade volume
    • Total fountain on-trade volume % growth
    • Total fountain on-trade volume per capita

    Methodology

    Methodology

    Global insight and local knowledge

    With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

    This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

    Industry specialists

    Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

    Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

    The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

    Country and regional analysts

    Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

    In-country research network

    To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

    Research Methodology

    Our research methods

    Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

    Desk research

    With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

    • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
    • National and international trade press
    • National and international trade associations
    • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
    • Company financials and annual reports
    • Broker reports
    • Online databases
    • The financial, business and mainstream press

    Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

    Store checks

    Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

    • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
    • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
    • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
    • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

    Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

    Trade survey

    Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

    Trade surveys allow us to:

    • Fill gaps in available published data per company
    • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
    • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
    • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

    In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

    Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

    Company analysis

    At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

    At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

    Forecasts

    Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

    Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

    Data validation

    All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

    The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

    Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

    Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

    Market analysis

    Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

    Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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