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Country Report

Alcoholic Drinks in Kenya

Feb 2012

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Alcoholic Drinks industry in Kenya with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Alcoholic Drinks industry in Kenya, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Kenya for free:

The Alcoholic Drinks in Kenya market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Alcoholic Drinks in Kenya?
  • What are the major brands in Kenya?
  • Have there been any alcoholic drinks legislative changes over the past 12 months?
  • How is the alcoholic drinks industry affected by the recession?
  • What is consumed more; beer, wine or spirits?
  • What have been the key trends seen in new product developments?
  • Do alcoholic drinks consumers want value for money or added value?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Alcoholic Drinks market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Alcoholic drinks face tough time due to high inflation

The country is recovering from a volatile political environment as well as the influence of various socioeconomic problems, relating to drought and economic production. The effects of the global financial crisis are still affecting the general economic performance, as high inflation and increases in production and raw materials costs add grist to the mill. The ever increasing inflation rates and thus rising costs of living are increasingly leading to consumers avoiding luxurious goods such as alcohol, instead focusing on necessity goods such as food (whose prices have more than doubled in recent times). To match high inflation rates brewers are increasing the prices of alcoholic drinks.

Impact of legalisation of homemade spirit changa’a not yet felt

The Alcoholic Drinks Control Act 2010 was touted to significantly change the rules in the industry and place greater challenges on manufacturers and retailers. First of all, this act legalises, under certain conditions, the production and sale of homemade spirit changa’a, in order to better control the product and generate more excise tax from it. However, getting licences for brewing local liquor is tedious and expensive for traditional local brewers. Implementation of the act has also been slow, and faced many legal bottlenecks from the major players in the industry. Even though traditional brewer remains a lucrative business, its challenge to the mainstream liquor industry has not yet been felt and deaths arising from consumption of low-standard traditional liquor are still being reported.

East African Breweries Ltd (EABL) still leads alcoholic drinks sales

East African Breweries Ltd continued to dominate the landscape in 2011, maintaining the trend of 2010. The company owns an extended portfolio across beer, RTDs and spirits, with a variety of mid-priced and premium products that ensure high volumes and healthy profit margins. Despite tough economic times the company continued to post good results in its half-year result for 2011. The company is also heavily promoting its brands via sponsorship of sporting events and product re-launches.

Distribution landscape still highly fragmented

Independent small grocers remained the largest off-trade distribution channel for alcoholic drinks in 2011 with a volume share of 61%. On the other hand, bars remain the largest distribution channel for on-trade, as urban consumers enjoy social drinking and can find brands there are not always available in off-trade. Consumers are price sensitive and opt to buy alcohol in off-trade outlets, which are cheaper than on-trade establishments. There are only a handful of wine specialist retailers in the country, since wine consumption is still in its infancy.

Future of alcoholic drinks resilient despite tougher legislation

The tougher alcohol legislation passed in 2010 as well as more control over drink-driving will put more pressure on drinkers, especially in public places. This will have a strong impact on on-trade growth which will be almost halved in the forecast period. However, off-trade volume will remain quite in line with the review period as consumers will circumvent the restriction on drinking by consuming more at home.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Alcoholic Drinks in Kenya - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Alcoholic drinks face tough time due to high inflation

Impact of legalisation of homemade spirit changa’a not yet felt

East African Breweries Ltd (EABL) still leads alcoholic drinks sales

Distribution landscape still highly fragmented

Future of alcoholic drinks resilient despite tougher legislation

MARKET BACKGROUND

Legislation

TAXATION AND DUTY LEVIES

  • Table 1 Taxation and Duty Levies on Alcoholic Drinks 2011
  • Table 2 Typical Wholesaler and Retailer Off-trade Mark-ups by Selected Categories 2011
  • Table 3 Selling Margin of a Typical Beer Brand 2011 Tusker
  • Table 4 Selling Margin of a Typical Wine Brand 2011 Caprice Red
  • Table 5 Selling Margin of a Typical Spirits Brand 2011 Johnnie Walker Red Label

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Contraband/parallel Trade

Duty-free

Cross-border/private Imports

KEY NEW PRODUCT LAUNCHES

  • Summary 1 Key New Product Developments 2010-2011

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 6 Retail Consumer Expenditure on Alcoholic Drinks 2006-2011

MARKET DATA

  • Table 7 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 8 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Value 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Volume 2011
  • Table 12 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Value 2011
  • Table 13 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Volume 2011
  • Table 14 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Value 2011
  • Table 15 Company Shares of Alcoholic Drinks by Global Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 16 Off-trade Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Distribution Format: % Value Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 17 Off-trade Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Volume Analysis 2011
  • Table 18 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 19 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Value 2011-2016
  • Table 20 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 21 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016

DEFINITIONS

Published data comparisons

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Alcoholic Drinks in Kenya - Company Profiles

East African Breweries Ltd in Alcoholic Drinks (Kenya)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 5 East African Breweries Ltd: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 East African Breweries Ltd: Competitive Position 2010

Kenya Wine Agencies Ltd (KWAL) in Alcoholic Drinks (Kenya)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 8 Kenya Wine Agencies Limited: Competitive Position 2011

Wines of the World Ltd in Alcoholic Drinks (Kenya)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRIVATE LABEL

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Beer in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Beer returned growth in 2011 of 6% in total volume terms, although this was down by approaching two percentage points compared with 2010. This decline in performance can be attributed to rising inflation and the increasing cost of food negatively affecting purchases of non-essential items.

PRODUCTION, IMPORTS AND EXPORTS

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The leading company in beer is East African Breweries Ltd (EABL), holding an 83% volume share in 2011. Tusker, Pilsner, Tusker Malt and Guinness are its most popular brands. This is due to their lower price compared with the imported alternatives, and their overall availability across the country. There is also loyalty among consumers to particular brands, who are reluctant to try other beers. EABL also has a massive war chest and a well-oiled marketing machine that is constantly pushing its agenda.

PROSPECTS

  • Beer is expected to record a CAGR of just over 4% in total volume terms over the forecast period, compared with 5% over the review period. Stricter legislation will shape the beer industry in future, limiting manufacturers’ advertising leverage and introducing more competition with the legalisation of home-made liquor, or Changa’a, which will prevent beer from booming in the future.

CATEGORY BACKGROUND

Lager price band methodology

  • Summary 10 Lager by Price Band 2011
  • Table 22 Number of Breweries 2006-2010

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 23 Sales of Beer by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 24 Sales of Beer by Category: Total Value 2006-2011
  • Table 25 Sales of Beer by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 26 Sales of Beer by Category: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 27 Sales of Beer by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Sales of Beer by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 29 Sales of Beer by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 30 Sales of Beer by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 31 Beer: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 32 Company Shares of Beer by National Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 33 Company Shares of Beer by Global Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 34 Brand Shares of Beer 2008-2011
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Beer by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Beer by Category: Total Value 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Beer by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Beer by Category: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016

Cider/Perry in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The growth of cider picked up in 2011 compared with the previous two years. The increasing purchasing power of women as a result of a greater number joining the workforce contributed to this increase, given that cider is perceived as lighter and healthier than beer or wine.

PRODUCTION, IMPORTS AND EXPORTS

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Kenya Wine Agencies Ltd (KWAL) remained dominant at the end of the review period with an 85% volume share. Some of its famous brands include Savannah and Bulmers Woodpecker. There is limited competition due to the low overall sales level, which prevents new players from entering the category.

PROSPECTS

  • Cider is expected to see a 3% volume CAGR over the forecast period. This will be in line with the performance of 2011. Future demand will be restricted by low awareness as well as intense competition from the more visible beer, spirits and RTDs. It is not expected that cider will significantly increase its penetration among the population, remaining a niche category.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 39 Sales of Cider/Perry: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 40 Sales of Cider/Perry: Total Value 2006-2011
  • Table 41 Sales of Cider/Perry: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 42 Sales of Cider/Perry: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 43 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of Cider/Perry: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 44 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of Cider/Perry: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 45 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of Cider/Perry: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 46 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of Cider/Perry: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 47 Company Shares of Cider/Perry by National Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 48 Company Shares of Cider/Perry by Global Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 49 Brand Shares of Cider/Perry 2008-2011
  • Table 50 Forecast Sales of Cider/Perry: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 51 Forecast Sales of Cider/Perry: Total Value 2011-2016
  • Table 52 Forecast Sales of Cider/Perry: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 53 Forecast Sales of Cider/Perry: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016

RTDs/High-Strength Premixes in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Growth of RTDs slowed in 2011 as a result of depressed consumption brought about by the high inflation rates and tough economic conditions. Additionally, RTDs did not benefit from higher sales due to the average unit price rising by 6%.

PRODUCTION, IMPORTS AND EXPORTS

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • EABL remain the leader in 2011 with an 89% volume share. The company’s strength is ensured by the best-selling Smirnoff Ice brand, which is available in two variants: Black Ice and Red Ice, followed closely by its Redd’s brand. The products are particularly successful in bars and clubs, where they have a strong following among fashionable and upper-income consumers.

PROSPECTS

  • The forecast growth outlook is positive, but with a total volume CAGR of just 1%. The expected recovery of the Kenyan economy to full pace, and the benefits of greater regional integration with its neighbours, will have a strong impact on disposable income and spending in coming years. This will partly benefit RTDs, which are mainly consumed by high-income consumers as well as expatriates.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 54 Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 55 Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: Total Value 2006-2011
  • Table 56 Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 57 Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 58 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 59 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 60 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 61 On-trade vs Off-trade Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 62 Company Shares of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Global Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 63 Company Shares of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by National Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 64 Brand Shares of RTDS/High-strength Premixes 2008-2011
  • Table 65 Forecast Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 66 Forecast Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: Total Value 2011-2016
  • Table 67 Forecast Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 68 Forecast Sales of RTDS/High-strength Premixes by Category: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016

Spirits in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Volume growth of spirits remained low in light of the heavy taxation burden in 2011. This was a direct result of price hikes on spirits from the last quarter of 2009, which forced lower-income drinkers to turn to illegally-distilled products instead. The passage of the Alcoholic Drinks Control Act 2010 provided legalisation of changa’a, the traditional drink distilled from maize or sorghum. Industry sources believe that this product accounts for around 45% of alcohol consumed in the country, and is considered a direct competitor to spirits. Overall, the recovery from price hikes, the Alcoholic Drink Control Act and inflation were not realised.

PRODUCTION, IMPORTS AND EXPORTS

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • East Africa Breweries Ltd (EABL) led spirits with a 27% volume share at the end of the review period. Low-end spirits such as rum, gin and other whiskies pushed volume sales for the company, coupled with its strong marketing scheme for its best-selling brands, such as Bond 7.

PROSPECTS

  • Spirits are expected to see a 2% volume CAGR over the forecast period, compared with 3% over the review period. However the other spirits category is set to achieve a 5% volume CAGR over the forecast period, especially given the legalisation of local brews such as changa’a and Kenya cane.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 69 Sales of Spirits by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 70 Sales of Spirits by Category: Total Value 2006-2011
  • Table 71 Sales of Spirits by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 72 Sales of Spirits by Category: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 73 Sales of Spirits by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 74 Sales of Spirits by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 75 Sales of Spirits by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 76 Sales of Spirits by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 77 Company Shares of Spirits by National Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 78 Company Shares of Spirits by Global Brand Owner 2007-2011
  • Table 79 Brand Shares of Spirits 2008-2011
  • Table 80 Forecast Sales of Spirits by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 81 Forecast Sales of Spirits by Category: Total Value 2011-2016
  • Table 82 Forecast Sales of Spirits by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 83 Forecast Sales of Spirits by Category: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016

Wine in Kenya - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Wine continued to moderately grow with a 4% increase in volume terms in 2011. There is a perception that wine is expensive and only for middle- and upper-income consumers. This was reinforced by the rampant inflation witnessed in the country at the end of the review period, which put wine even more beyond the reach of the average consumer. However, this trend is changing as companies seek to alter this perception through print media coverage and merchandising in supermarkets.

PRODUCTION, IMPORTS AND EXPORTS

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • KWAL, the leading player in wine, has in recent years seen intensive rebranding and repositioning locally and in the wider region. This has seen its potential grow immensely, leading to a government proposition that it be privatised. However, the real onslaught has perhaps been from wine makers based in South Africa. They have introduced brands that have adopted local names such as Mara Wines. They have also made good use of the advances by the Common Market for East Africa and Southern Africa trading bloc in order to raise exports to Kenya.

PROSPECTS

  • Wine is expected to see a volume CAGR of 4% over the forecast period on the back of a recovering economy and a growing middle class with rising disposable income. Nonetheless, stricter regulations and higher taxation will hamper growth, leading to consumers trading down to relatively cheaper products such as traditional changa’a and beer.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 84 Sales of Wine by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 85 Sales of Wine by Category: Total Value 2006-2011
  • Table 86 Sales of Wine by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 87 Sales of Wine by Category: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 88 Sales of Wine by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 89 Sales of Wine by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 90 Sales of Wine by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 91 Sales of Wine by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 92 Forecast Sales of Wine by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 93 Forecast Sales of Wine by Category: Total Value 2011-2016
  • Table 94 Forecast Sales of Wine by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 95 Forecast Sales of Wine by Category: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Alcoholic Drinks

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Distribution
  • Exports by country - value
  • Exports by country - volume
  • Imports by country - value
  • Imports by country - volume
  • Off-trade vs on-trade
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Trade statistics - value
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Off-trade volume
  • Off-trade volume % growth
  • Off-trade volume per capita
  • On-trade volume
  • On-trade volume % growth
  • On-trade volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Off-trade value retail selling price % growth
  • Off-trade value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value retail selling price % growth
  • On-trade value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value retail selling price % growth
  • Total value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Off-trade value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • On-trade value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Total value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Total value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Total value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade rtd volume
  • Off-trade rtd volume % growth
  • Off-trade rtd volume per capita
  • On-trade rtd volume
  • On-trade rtd volume % growth
  • On-trade rtd volume per capita
  • Total rtd volume
  • Total rtd volume % growth
  • Total rtd volume per capita
  • Off-trade volume litres of pure alcohol
  • Off-trade volume litres of pure alcohol % growth
  • Off-trade volume litres of pure alcohol per capita
  • On-trade volume litres of pure alcohol
  • On-trade volume litres of pure alcohol % growth
  • On-trade volume litres of pure alcohol per capita
  • Total volume litres of pure alcohol
  • Total volume litres of pure alcohol % growth
  • Total volume litres of pure alcohol per capita
  • Off-trade value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Off-trade value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • On-trade value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Total value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Off-trade value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • On-trade value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Total value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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